Bolton sit 20th in the Championship on 7 points from 7 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 12. The model rates their attack at 0.75× the league average and their defence at 1.39× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently beating Cardiff 1-0 at home. That is 1.00 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. That leaves them 7 points behind West Ham at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 12th-best attack and the 19th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Norwich in the Championship on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 29%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 10 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
Bolton sit 20 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0Cardiff12 September 2026
- L2-3West Ham8 September 2026
- L0-4away to Millwall5 September 2026
- L2-3away to Sheffield Utd1 September 2026
- L0-1Lincoln29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Bolton vs Norwich
Bolton travel to Norwich at Carrow Road, Norwich on 20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. The model makes it 29% Bolton, 28% draw and 43% Norwich, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.22 expected goals for Bolton against 1.76. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Full preview and model analysis for Bolton vs Norwich
Recent meetings with Norwich
- 16 February 2019Bolton 0–4 NorwichChampionship
- 8 December 2018Norwich 3–2 BoltonChampionship
- 24 February 2018Norwich 0–0 BoltonChampionship
- 4 November 2017Bolton 2–1 NorwichChampionship
- 11 April 2015Bolton 1–2 NorwichChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.