Watford vs Preston Championship prediction & result
Final score: Watford 2-1 Preston.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Watford, 29% draw, 30% Preston — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Watford at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Watford vs Preston
Line-ups
- 1F. RavagliaG
- 4K. KebenD
- 6M. PollockD
- 3S. CoulibalyD
- 23O. TraoréD
- 39E. KayembeM
- 5H. KyprianouM
- 21Amin NabizadaM
- 22M. PayeroM
- 11R. VataM
- 20M. DoumbiaF
- 26D. BachmannG
- 17Iker BravoF
- 9L. KjerrumgaardF
- 7O. MaammaF
- 45S. MavididiF
- 24S. WalkerG
- 33J. ZemuraD
- 56Albert EamesD
- 1D. IversenG
- 4H. ClarkeD
- 24O. OffiahD
- 14J. StoreyD
- 19L. GibsonD
- 3A. VukčevićD
- 27L. LeroyM
- 15J. ThompsonM
- 7A. DevineM
- 10C. LangF
- 38J. KennyF
- 6L. LindsayD
- 17S. MillsM
- 23A. MoranM
- 21L. NichollsG
- 11T. SmallD
- 12C. WileyD
- 20L. GibbsM
- 9J. ErabiF
- 37D. BurgzorgF
Form going into Watford vs Preston
Watford
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to West Brom5 September 2026
- L0-2away to Swansea1 September 2026
- D1-1West Ham29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Wrexham22 August 2026
- W2-1Southampton16 August 2026
Preston
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Blackburn5 September 2026
- L1-3Bristol City1 September 2026
- L0-1away to Charlton29 August 2026
- L1-3Wolves22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Bolton15 August 2026
What these results say
- Watford conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Watford failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Watford had two goals or fewer.
- Preston conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Preston failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Preston scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Watford vs Preston
- 14 February 2026Preston 2–2 WatfordChampionship
- 25 November 2025Watford 1–1 PrestonChampionship
- 21 January 2025Watford 1–2 PrestonChampionship
- 2 October 2024Preston 3–0 WatfordChampionship
- 6 April 2024Watford 0–0 PrestonChampionship
The result against the call
Watford beat Preston 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Watford at 41%. The goals: Callum Lang 5' for Preston, Edo Kayembe 69' for Watford, Mamadou Doumbia 76' for Watford.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.