27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC DFB Pokal prediction & result

Borussia-Park
Referee: Florian Lechner
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 Karlsruher SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Borussia Mönchengladbach, 19% draw, 14% Karlsruher SC — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Borussia Mönchengladbach at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Borussia Mönchengladbach99%Draw1%Karlsruher SC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Robin Hackassist: Joe Scally
7'
•Philipp Sander
38'
Philipp Sander
39'
45'
🔁Sandro Tremouletout: Jason Ponente-Ramirez
🔁Hugo Bolinout: Lukas Ullrich
45'
⚽Lukas Ullrichassist: Robin Hack
49'
60'
🔁Lilian Egloffout: Noel Eichinger
61'
🔁Tim Civejaout: Louey Ben Farhat
69'
🔁Santeri Väänänenout: Danyal Hakan Zor
🔁Zento Unoout: Mathieu Nguefack
72'
🔁Shuto Machinoout: Ko Itakura
77'
86'
🔁Deniz Ofliout: Viktor Bergh
🔁Robin Hackout: Wael Mohya
86'

Match stats — Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC

36%Possession64%
4Shots15
3On target4
1Corners6
0.77xG0.91

Goals against chances

Borussia Mönchengladbach2 from 0.77 xGmore than the chances were worth
Karlsruher SC0 from 0.91 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1
  • 33D. BatzG
  • 29J. ScallyD
  • 16P. SanderD
  • 2F. ChiarodiaD
  • 22Y. KonoplyaM
  • 47Z. UnoM
  • 7K. StögerM
  • 20D. HeroldM
  • 38H. BolinM
  • 25R. HackM
  • 18S. MachinoF
Substitutes
  • 17J. CastropM
  • 39I. M. DanfaF
  • 6K. ItakuraD
  • 36W. MohyaM
  • 10F. NeuhausM
  • 34M. NguefackM
  • 23J. OlschowskyG
  • 48Lion SchweersD
  • 26L. UllrichD
Coach: A. Blessin
Karlsruher SC 3-4-2-1
  • 1H. BernatG
  • 22C. KobaldD
  • 28M. FrankeD
  • 24S. TrémouletD
  • 36Rafael Pinto PedrosaM
  • 23T. CivejaM
  • 6S. VäänänenM
  • 3D. OfliM
  • 25L. EgloffM
  • 10M. WanitzekM
  • 13S. FukudaF
Substitutes
  • 7K. WiethaupM
  • 15Paul SchollD
  • 37J. PonenteF
  • 27J. D. MeyerF
  • 30R. HimmelmannG
  • 11N. EichingerM
  • 33V. BerghD
  • 19Louey Ben FarhatM
  • 26D. H. ZorM
Coach: M. Senft

Form going into Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga

  • W3-2away to VfB Stuttgart23 October 2026
  • L1-21899 Hoffenheim18 October 2026
  • L1-2away to 1. FC Köln11 October 2026

Karlsruher SC

2. Bundesliga

  • L1-6away to 1. FC Magdeburg24 October 2026
  • W4-0SV Darmstadt 9818 October 2026
  • L0-2away to FC St. Pauli11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Borussia Mönchengladbach and Karlsruher SC in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
18Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga91171225-134
16Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga113261524-911

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Bundesliga · 2. Bundesliga

Head-to-head: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC

  • 28 October 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 Karlsruher SCDFB Pokal

The result against the call

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat Karlsruher SC 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Borussia Mönchengladbach at 67%. The goals: Robin Hack 7' for Borussia Mönchengladbach, Lukas Ullrich 49' for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Sent off: Philipp Sander (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 39'. On expected goals it finished 0.77–0.91.

How the call on Borussia Mönchengladbach v Karlsruher SC has moved

First published on 13 Oct at 64% / 21% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 67% / 19% / 14%: the biggest move is Borussia Mönchengladbach's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Borussia Mönchengladbach win67%▲ +3
  2. Draw19%▼ −2
  3. Karlsruher SC win14%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.