SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 DFB Pokal prediction & result
Final score: SV Elversberg 0-2 SV Darmstadt 98.
Before kick-off the model made it 70% SV Elversberg, 18% draw, 12% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 1.43, 5.56 and 8.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
SV Elversberg at 70%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 20N. KristofG
- 26L. SirchD
- 19L. PinckertD
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 21L. GüntherD
- 6A. CondéM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 25L. PetkovM
- 17F. SchmahlM
- 39William Cole CampbellM
- 9N. FutkeuF
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 43F. KeidelD
- 28T. BossG
- 15R. AdamF
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 42D. MokwaF
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
- 31M. RohrD
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 49Y. LührsD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 17K. KlefischM
- 28C. LannertM
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 3F. KleinhanslM
- 36M. SmitF
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
- 26M. BaderD
- 30A. BrunstG
- 11I. El KadiriF
- 22L. KehlM
- 19F. LakenmacherF
- 25W. MikelbrencisD
- 20A. VukotićD
- 16H. AkiyamaM
- 7N. WeißhauptM
Form going into SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98
SV Elversberg
Bundesliga
- L0-4away to RB Leipzig24 October 2026
- W4-3FC Augsburg17 October 2026
- L0-1away to Union Berlin10 October 2026
SV Darmstadt 98
2. Bundesliga
- D0-0FC St. Pauli23 October 2026
- L0-4away to Karlsruher SC18 October 2026
- W3-1Energie Cottbus10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98 in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SV Elversberg | Bundesliga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Bundesliga · 2. Bundesliga
Head-to-head: SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98
- 25 April 2026SV Darmstadt 98 3–3 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
- 30 November 2025SV Elversberg 0–0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 8 February 2025SV Darmstadt 98 0–3 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
- 31 August 2024SV Elversberg 4–0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 13 October 2023SV Darmstadt 98 4–2 SV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs
- 20 December 2013SV Elversberg 0–3 SV Darmstadt 983. Liga
Leading scorers: SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98
SV Elversberg
GoalsAssists
- M. Krattenmacher41
SV Darmstadt 98
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Darmstadt 98 won 2–0 at SV Elversberg. The model had leaned towards a win for SV Elversberg at 70% and given a win for SV Darmstadt 98 12%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: Lars Kehl 6' for SV Darmstadt 98, Milan Smit 56' for SV Darmstadt 98. On expected goals it finished 1.69–0.54.
How the call on SV Elversberg v SV Darmstadt 98 has moved
First published on 13 Oct at 67% / 20% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 70% / 18% / 12%: the biggest move is SV Elversberg's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- SV Elversberg win70%▲ +3
- Draw18%▼ −2
- SV Darmstadt 98 win12%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.