27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Bradford vs Peterborough League Cup prediction & result

Valley Parade, Bradford
Referee: T. Kirk
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Bradford 2-0 Peterborough.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Bradford, 29% draw, 19% Peterborough — fair odds of 1.92, 3.45 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bradford at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bradford99%Draw1%Peterborough0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Macauley Gillesphey
5'
⚽Macauley Gillespheyassist: Callumm Connolly
13'
Reece Welch
20'
George Lapslie
28'
Bobby Pointon
31'
Callumm Connolly
34'
🔁Reece Welchout: Aden·Baldwin
53'
🔁Corey O'Keeffeout: Kayden Jackson
53'
57'
🔁Harry Ashfieldout: Matthew Garbett
57'
🔁Vernon Masaraout: Bolu Shofowoke
57'
🔁Carl Johnstonout: James Dornelly
59'
Lucca Mendonça
🔁George Lapslieout: Adam Phillips
60'
🔁Bobby Pointonout: Will Swan
61'
66'
🔁Brandon·Singh Khelaout: Harrison Jones
⚽Adam Phillipsassist: Jake Beesley
67'
68'
🔁Owura Edwardsout: Declan Firth
🔁Antoni Sarcevicout: Kieran Morgan
69'
73'
Harley Mills
Kieran Morgan
86'

Match stats — Bradford vs Peterborough

58%Possession42%
15Shots16
8On target3
8Corners6
2.93xG1.26

Goals against chances

Bradford2 from 2.93 xGless than the chances were worth
Peterborough0 from 1.26 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bradford 3-4-2-1
  • 21J. McCrackenG
  • 2R. WelchD
  • 28M. PenningtonD
  • 5M. GillespheyD
  • 27C. O'KeeffeM
  • 32G. LapslieM
  • 6C. ConnollyM
  • 3I. TourayM
  • 10A. SarcevicM
  • 23B. PointonM
  • 9J. BeesleyF
Substitutes
  • 15A. BaldwinD
  • 20Henry CartwrightM
  • 1C. DawsonG
  • 19K. JacksonF
  • 14H. MatthewsD
  • 22Kieran MorganM
  • 8A. PhillipsM
  • 16George Christopher John PrattD
  • 24W. SwanF
Coach: M. Duff
Peterborough 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. BassG
  • 2C. JohnstonD
  • 18Lucca MendonçaD
  • 12Joshua FeeneyD
  • 14Harley MillsD
  • 45Harry AshfieldM
  • 8B. KhelaM
  • 17Vernon MasaraM
  • 10Ethan WilliamsM
  • 11O. EdwardsM
  • 27D. OrmerodF
Substitutes
  • 21P. SykutM
  • 19Bolu ShofowokeF
  • 4L. KellyM
  • 7Harrison JonesM
  • 28M. GarbettM
  • 24Declan FirthF
  • 33James DornellyD
  • 23C. Andeng NdiG
  • 3E. WeirD
Coach: Robert William Savage

Form going into Bradford vs Peterborough

Bradford

League One

  • D0-0away to Oxford United24 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Burton Albion20 October 2026
  • W2-0Stevenage17 October 2026
  • D0-0Leyton Orient10 October 2026

Peterborough

League One

  • D1-1away to Bromley24 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Huddersfield20 October 2026
  • D2-2Burton Albion17 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Leicester10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Bradford went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Bradford kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Bradford had two goals or fewer.
  • Peterborough scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Peterborough conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Peterborough.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Bradford13643108+222
22Peterborough132471123-1210

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bradford vs Peterborough

  • 15 August 2026Bradford 2–0 PeterboroughLeague One
  • 14 February 2026Bradford 2–0 PeterboroughLeague One
  • 23 August 2025Peterborough 1–1 BradfordLeague One
  • 9 March 2019Bradford 3–1 PeterboroughLeague One
  • 11 December 2018Bradford 8–8 PeterboroughFA Cup
  • 1 December 2018Peterborough 2–2 BradfordFA Cup

The result against the call

Bradford beat Peterborough 2–0. The model had made a win for Bradford its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Macauley Gillesphey 13' for Bradford, Adam Phillips 67' for Bradford. On expected goals it finished 2.93–1.26.

How the call on Bradford v Peterborough has moved

First published on 13 Oct at 49% / 30% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 52% / 29% / 19%: the biggest move is Bradford's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Bradford win52%▲ +3
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Peterborough win19%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.