20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Tromso vs Brighton UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Romssa Arena
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Final score: Tromso 0-0 Brighton.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Tromso, 22% draw, 59% Brighton — fair odds of 5.26, 4.55 and 1.69.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Brighton v Tromso, 27 Aug →

Brighton went through 4–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Brighton at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tromso3%Draw91%Brighton6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

48'
Luka Vušković
59'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
🔁L. O. Larsenout: Ieltsin Camoes
64'
68'
🔁M. Yalcouyeout: A. Cozier-Duberry
68'
🔁D. Gomezout: C. Kostoulas
77'
🔁I. Osmanout: M. De Cuyper
78'
🔁G. Rutterout: J. Hinshelwood
🔁I. Dahlqvistout: S. Innvaer
80'
🔁H. Larsenout: J. Grundt
80'
87'
🔁F. Kadiogluout: Z. Yohanna
🔁T. Nyhammerout: D. Braut
90+1'

Match stats — Tromso vs Brighton

32%Possession68%
5Shots25
1On target6
5Corners11

Line-ups

Tromso 3-5-2
  • 1J. HaugaardG
  • 30I. VadebuD
  • 4V. SkjaervikD
  • 3M. TonnessenD
  • 17I. DahlqvistM
  • 5D. EdvardssonM
  • 11R. JenssenM
  • 7L. O. LarsenM
  • 29A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydM
  • 10T. NyhammerF
  • 22H. LarsenF
Substitutes
  • 12O. LauvliG
  • 32A. SarrG
  • 25C. OyvannD
  • 21L. HienF
  • 27M. MikkelsenM
  • 37S. InnvaerM
  • 24V. OsujiD
  • 8J. GrundtM
  • 15V. EkblomF
Coach: Jorgen Vik
Brighton 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. VerbruggenG
  • 27M. WiefferD
  • 44L. VuskovicD
  • 21O. BoscagliD
  • 24F. KadiogluD
  • 35M. YalcouyeM
  • 26Y. AyariM
  • 25D. GomezM
  • 13P. GrossM
  • 15I. OsmanM
  • 10G. RutterF
Substitutes
  • 23J. SteeleG
  • 38T. McGillG
  • 5L. DunkD
  • 30M. SvobodaD
  • 20CostinhaD
  • 4P. StruijkD
  • 29M. De CuyperD
  • 8J. HinshelwoodM
  • 22A. Cozier-DuberryM
Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Form going into Tromso vs Brighton

Tromso

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Molde16 August 2026
  • W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj13 August 2026
  • W5-0away to CFR 1907 Cluj6 August 2026
  • W6-2away to Aalesund2 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Hradec Králové30 July 2026

Brighton

No earlier matches on record this season.

What these results say

  • Tromso scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Tromso had three goals or more.
  • Tromso conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Tromso and Brighton in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
6TromsoEliteserien2611784340+340
5BrightonUEFA Europa Conference League321050+57

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eliteserien · UEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Tromso and Brighton

Tromso

GoalsAssists

  • H. Larsen104
  • J. Hjertø-Dahl72

Brighton

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Tromso and Brighton drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Brighton at 59% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.