Brighton sit 5th in the Premier League on 7 points from 4 matches, having scored 13 and conceded 5. The model rates their attack at 1.21× the league average and their defence at 0.75× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Coventry 5-0 away. That is 1.75 points a match, scoring 3.25 and conceding 1.25 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That leaves them 5 points behind Arsenal at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 3rd-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 4 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Arsenal in the Premier League on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 38%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Brighton sit 5 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W5-0away to Coventry13 September 2026
- D1-1Leeds5 September 2026
- L3-4away to Chelsea30 August 2026
- W4-0Aston Villa23 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Brighton vs Arsenal
Brighton host Arsenal at Amex Stadium, Brighton on 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 38% Brighton, 31% draw and 31% Arsenal, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.22 expected goals for Brighton against 1.01. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Full preview and model analysis for Brighton vs Arsenal
Recent meetings with Arsenal
- 4 March 2026Brighton 0–1 ArsenalPremier League
- 27 December 2025Arsenal 2–1 BrightonPremier League
- 29 October 2025Arsenal 2–0 BrightonLeague Cup
- 4 January 2025Brighton 1–1 ArsenalPremier League
- 31 August 2024Arsenal 1–1 BrightonPremier League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- M. Yalcouyé2 goals
League goals this season.