Cadiz vs Las Palmas Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cadiz 0-1 Las Palmas.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Cadiz, 28% draw, 31% Las Palmas — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Cadiz at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cadiz vs Las Palmas
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13J. EzkietaG
- 27J. Diaz PeregrinaD
- 14B. KovacevicD
- 4J. CastroD
- 22C. GutierrezD
- 5M. DoueM
- 23D. RodriguezM
- 20B. VazquezM
- 19IzetaM
- 10J. OntiverosM
- 9A. PascualF
- 1D. GilG
- 6M. FernandezD
- 2B. de JesusD
- 3S. ArribasD
- 33M. RiveraM
- 18JandroM
- 24I. SanchezM
- 28D. A. Zarate HidalgoM
- 25G. PetitF
- 13J. CaroG
- 25V. PezzolesiD
- 15J. HerzogD
- 21G. BonfantiD
- 5E. ClementeD
- 11T. MiyashiroM
- 12E. LoiodiceM
- 6I. GonzalezM
- 24Ivan JaimeM
- 10JeseF
- 14M. FusterF
- 35A. SuarezG
- 41J. ValverdeG
- 23A. RodriguezD
- 42R. SaiahD
- 40A. PerezD
- 20K. RodriguezM
- 16M. AcimovicM
- 30I. MedinaF
- 29E. RomeroF
Form going into Cadiz vs Las Palmas
Cadiz
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Almeria6 September 2026
- D1-1Valladolid30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Eldense22 August 2026
- D0-0Celta de Vigo II15 August 2026
Las Palmas
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Leganes4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Girona29 August 2026
- W2-0away to AD Ceuta FC22 August 2026
- W2-1Albacete16 August 2026
What these results say
- Cadiz did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Cadiz scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cadiz conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Las Palmas scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cadiz vs Las Palmas
- 8 August 2026Cadiz 1–3 Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs
- 27 April 2026Cadiz 1–2 Las PalmasSegunda División
- 5 October 2025Las Palmas 1–0 CadizSegunda División
- 24 July 2025Cadiz 2–1 Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs
- 19 May 2024Cadiz 0–0 Las PalmasLa Liga
- 17 December 2023Las Palmas 1–1 CadizLa Liga
Leading scorers: Cadiz and Las Palmas
Cadiz
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Cordero52
Las Palmas
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Las Palmas won 1–0 at Cadiz. The model had leaned towards a win for Cadiz at 41% and given a win for Las Palmas 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: E. Clemente 60' for Las Palmas. On expected goals it finished 0.49–2.87.