Cadiz vs Las Palmas Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cadiz 0-1 Las Palmas.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Cadiz, 28% draw, 31% Las Palmas — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cadiz at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Cadiz vs Las Palmas
Cadiz
- L2-3away to Almeria6 September 2026
- D1-1Valladolid30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Eldense22 August 2026
- D0-0Celta de Vigo II15 August 2026
Las Palmas
- D0-0Leganes4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Girona29 August 2026
- W2-0away to AD Ceuta FC22 August 2026
- W2-1Albacete16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cadiz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cadiz vs Las Palmas
- 8 August 2026Cadiz 1–3 Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs
- 27 April 2026Cadiz 1–2 Las PalmasSegunda División
- 5 October 2025Las Palmas 1–0 CadizSegunda División
- 24 July 2025Cadiz 2–1 Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs
- 19 May 2024Cadiz 0–0 Las PalmasLa Liga
- 17 December 2023Las Palmas 1–1 CadizLa Liga
Leading scorers: Cadiz and Las Palmas
Cadiz
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Las Palmas
- T. Miyashiro2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.