Granada CF vs Albacete Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Granada CF 1-1 Albacete.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Granada CF, 24% draw, 21% Albacete — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Granada CF at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Granada CF vs Albacete
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13R. LizoainG
- 18S. LopezD
- 5M. LamaD
- 23B. GimberD
- 16D. Varela PampinD
- 6G. GumbauM
- 4R. AlcarazM
- 8P. AlemanM
- 36O. M. ChukwuemekaF
- 9A. MarquesF
- 11J. M. ArnaizF
- 1A. FloresG
- 2P. CasadesusD
- 30JuanjoD
- 35B. DembeleD
- 33A. GarciaD
- 27M. Jimenez GambinM
- 32D. RodriguezM
- 34M. MazaM
- 10J. PascualF
- 1C. MarinG
- 2LorenzoD
- 5J. MorenoD
- 22L. LopezD
- 21C. NevaD
- 18S. OrtunoM
- 8J. VillarM
- 17J. CorpasM
- 32A. AlbarracinM
- 4Agus MedinaM
- 9M. SoberonF
- 13D. MarinoG
- 15F. GamezD
- 27D. BernabeuD
- 28A. VelillaD
- 6A. PachecoM
- 44Antonio DavidM
- 33T. InglesF
- 12H. MarinF
- 11V. ValverdeF
Form going into Granada CF vs Albacete
Granada CF
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Eibar6 September 2026
- W3-1away to Cordoba30 August 2026
- W2-0Mallorca24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Oviedo15 August 2026
Albacete
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Castellón6 September 2026
- L0-1Oviedo29 August 2026
- L1-2Real Sociedad II22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Las Palmas16 August 2026
What these results say
- Albacete did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Albacete conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 23 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Granada CF vs Albacete
- 19 April 2026Albacete 4–1 Granada CFSegunda División
- 21 December 2025Granada CF 1–1 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 13 April 2025Albacete 0–2 Granada CFSegunda División
- 15 August 2024Granada CF 1–2 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 18 March 2023Albacete 1–2 Granada CFSegunda División
- 18 November 2022Granada CF 4–0 AlbaceteSegunda División
Leading scorers: Granada CF and Albacete
Granada CF
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pascual40
Albacete
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Granada CF and Albacete drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Granada CF at 55% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: O. M. Chukwuemeka 50' for Granada CF, H. Marin (penalty) 81' for Albacete. On expected goals it finished 0.95–1.21.
How the call on Granada CF v Albacete has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 46% / 28% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 55% / 24% / 21%: the biggest move is Granada CF's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Granada CF win55%▲ +9
- Draw24%▼ −4
- Albacete win21%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.