Cordoba vs Almeria Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cordoba 0-2 Almeria.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Cordoba, 27% draw, 28% Almeria — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Cordoba at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cordoba vs Almeria
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Guilherme FernandesG
- 27E. MunozD
- 4Alex MartinD
- 16R. AlvesD
- 3D. TasendeD
- 22Y. DiarraM
- 8I. RuizM
- 28E. GarciaM
- 23C. CarracedoF
- 9PercanF
- 11D. BriF
- 1I. AlvarezG
- 5J. GutierrezD
- 30D. BudescaD
- 21C. AlbarranD
- 7T. ZidaneM
- 6D. CaceresM
- 18E. RodriguezF
- 19I. SanzF
- 15V. SanchezF
- 1A. FernandezG
- 2M. LunaD
- 19Rodrigo ElyD
- 18F. BoniniD
- 15L. LeloD
- 29S. DzodicM
- 33Q. JunyentM
- 12Leo BaptistaoM
- 14Javier MunozM
- 17B. CipengaM
- 24M. de la FuenteF
- 31A. YaakobishviliG
- 5J. PulidoD
- 3A. MunozD
- 21ChumiD
- 22D. ChirinoD
- 11S. ArribasM
- 6M. VesgaM
- 10N. MelamedM
- 23A. EmbarbaF
Form going into Cordoba vs Almeria
Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Sabadell7 September 2026
- L1-3Granada CF30 August 2026
- W2-1Girona21 August 2026
- L2-3away to Burgos16 August 2026
Almeria
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Cadiz6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Sabadell29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Tenerife23 August 2026
- W3-0Eldense17 August 2026
What these results say
- Cordoba scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cordoba conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Cordoba had three goals or more.
- Almeria conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 20 |
| 1 | Almeria | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cordoba vs Almeria
- 7 August 2026Cordoba 0–4 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs
- 21 February 2026Almeria 2–1 CordobaSegunda División
- 19 October 2025Cordoba 1–1 AlmeriaSegunda División
- 12 January 2025Cordoba 0–3 AlmeriaSegunda División
- 26 November 2024Almeria 4–0 CordobaSegunda División
- 23 July 2022Almeria 1–2 CordobaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Cordoba and Almeria
Cordoba
GoalsAssists
- Percan63
- Eder García42
Almeria
GoalsAssists
- Miguel de la Fuente91
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Almeria won 2–0 at Cordoba. The model had leaned towards a win for Cordoba at 45% and given a win for Almeria 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: B. Cipenga 52' for Almeria, Thalys 70' for Almeria. Sent off: Quim Junyent (Almeria) 90+5'. On expected goals it finished 1.38–0.52.
How the call on Cordoba v Almeria has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 45% / 27% / 28%: the biggest move is Cordoba's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Cordoba win45%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Almeria win28%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.