20 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Cambridge United vs Wycombe League One prediction & result

Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Cambridge United 2-2 Wycombe.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Cambridge United, 25% draw, 27% Wycombe — fair odds of 2.08, 4.00 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cambridge United at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

44'
⚽Jayden Warehamassist: Fred Onyedinma
51'
Jayden Wareham
🔁Sam Curtisout: Louis Appere
59'
🔁Gassan Ahadmeout: Shayne Lavery
59'
61'
⚽Jayden Warehamassist: Anders Hagelskjaer
62'
🔁Aaron Morleyout: Josh Scowen
66'
Daniel Harvie
🔁George Hoddleout: Owen Moxon
68'
🔁Pelly Ruddock Mpanzuout: Raees Bangura-Williams
68'
74'
🔁Caolan Boyd-Munceout: Ewan Henderson
⚽Shayne Laveryassist: Ben Knight
78'
Raees Bangura-Williams
84'
85'
🔁Jayden Warehamout: Cauley Woodrow
⚽Connor Taylor (OG)
90+2'
90+5'
Ewan Henderson

Match stats — Cambridge United vs Wycombe

52%Possession48%
12Shots9
6On target2
12Corners9
0.82xG1.28

Goals against chances

Cambridge United2 from 0.82 xGmore than the chances were worth
Wycombe2 from 1.28 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Cambridge United 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. EastwoodG
  • 29S. CurtisD
  • 15Cathal Séan Heffernan AndrewsD
  • 6K. WattsD
  • 22Z. BradshawD
  • 38G. HoddleM
  • 17P. MpanzuM
  • 10B. KnightM
  • 2L. BennettM
  • 11S. KaikaiM
  • 14G. YahyaiF
Substitutes
  • 8O. MoxonM
  • 19S. LaveryF
  • 7Isaac HeathF
  • 13G. BreezeG
  • 5P. BauerD
  • 44Raees Bangura-WilliamsM
  • 9L. AppéréF
Coach: N. Harris
Wycombe 4-4-1-1
  • 23C. HazardG
  • 2J. GrimmerD
  • 26C. TaylorD
  • 45A. HagelskjærD
  • 27S. CookD
  • 44F. OnyedinmaM
  • 8C. Boyd-MunceM
  • 5A. MorleyM
  • 3D. HarvieM
  • 10L. LeahyM
  • 15J. WarehamF
Substitutes
  • 17D. CaseyD
  • 20E. HendersonM
  • 21Jamie MullinsM
  • 4J. ScowenM
  • 11Silko Amari Otieno ThomasF
  • 33J. WildsmithG
  • 12C. WoodrowF
Coach: T. Hounsell

Form going into Cambridge United vs Wycombe

Cambridge United

League One

  • W2-1away to Barnsley17 October 2026

Wycombe

League One

  • W2-0Notts County17 October 2026
  • L1-4Luton10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Cambridge United145632121021
13Wycombe134632123-218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cambridge United vs Wycombe

  • 1 February 2025Cambridge United 1–1 WycombeLeague One
  • 21 September 2024Wycombe 2–1 Cambridge UnitedLeague One
  • 23 April 2024Cambridge United 1–1 WycombeLeague One
  • 31 October 2023Wycombe 0–0 Cambridge UnitedLeague One
  • 18 April 2023Cambridge United 1–2 WycombeLeague One
  • 25 October 2022Wycombe 2–3 Cambridge UnitedLeague One

Leading scorers: Cambridge United and Wycombe

Cambridge United

GoalsAssists

  • B. Knight42

Wycombe

GoalsAssists

  • J. Wareham61
  • F. Onyedinma43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cambridge United and Wycombe drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Cambridge United at 48% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jayden Wareham 44' for Wycombe, Jayden Wareham 61' for Wycombe, Shayne Lavery 78' for Cambridge United, Connor Taylor (own goal) 90+2' for Cambridge United. On expected goals it finished 0.82–1.28.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cambridge United a 12.7% chance to finish in the top two: 14.7% after a win, 11.2% after a draw, 8.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 11.2%, 1.5 points lower than before the match.

For Wycombe the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 8.5% going in: 6.2% after a win, 8.3% after a draw, 9.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 8.3%.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Cambridge United v Wycombe has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 48% / 25% / 27%: the biggest move is Cambridge United's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Cambridge United win48%▲ +6
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. Wycombe win27%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.