2 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Celtic vs Aberdeen Premiership prediction & result

Celtic Park, Glasgow
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Celtic 3-0 Aberdeen.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Celtic, 25% draw, 21% Aberdeen — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Celtic at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Celtic99%Draw1%Aberdeen0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽C. Duranassist: B. Nygren
14'
⚽B. Nygren
34'
Cameron Carter-Vickers
38'
42'
Lewis Mayo
⚽Yang Hyun-Junassist: C. Duran
45'
46'
🔁K. Nisbetout: L. Smith
46'
🔁A. Aremuout: C. Ronan
46'
🔁A. Moulouaout: M. Ntelo
46'
🔁A. Briedlout: T. Olusanya
🔁A. Oxlade-Chamberlainout: O. Sorensen
63'
🔁B. Nygrenout: M. Baur
63'
🔁Yang Hyun-Junout: J. Forrest
74'
🔁C. Duranout: S. Mheuka
75'
🔁H. Hassanout: S. Tounekti
76'
82'
🔁G. Molloyout: J. Milne

Match stats — Celtic vs Aberdeen

61%Possession39%
27Shots9
12On target2
15Corners5

Line-ups

Celtic 4-1-4-1
  • 1V. SinisaloG
  • 51C. DonovanD
  • 20C. Carter-VickersD
  • 6A. TrustyD
  • 5L. ScalesD
  • 42C. McGregorM
  • 23H. HassanM
  • 8B. NygrenM
  • 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
  • 13Yang Hyun-JunM
  • 11C. DuranF
Substitutes
  • 26S. JohnstoneG
  • 56A. RalstonD
  • 47D. MurrayD
  • 18O. SorensenM
  • 49J. ForrestM
  • 17S. TounektiF
  • 14L. McCowanM
  • 22M. BaurM
  • 29S. MheukaF
Coach: Martin O'Neill
Aberdeen 5-3-2
  • 27M. MullerG
  • 28C. CaddenD
  • 23L. MayoD
  • 5M. KnoesterD
  • 21G. MolloyD
  • 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
  • 17S. ArmstrongM
  • 32A. AremuM
  • 10A. BriedlM
  • 15K. NisbetF
  • 9A. MoulouaF
Substitutes
  • 13N. SumanG
  • 2N. DevlinD
  • 22J. MilneD
  • 11L. SmithF
  • 25C. RonanM
  • 40F. Marshall
  • 7T. YoganeF
  • 31M. NteloF
  • 20T. OlusanyaF
Coach: Stephen Robinson

Form going into Celtic vs Aberdeen

Celtic

  • W2-1Falkirk29 August 2026
  • W5-1away to Kilmarnock9 August 2026

Aberdeen

  • L0-1Rangers30 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Dundee8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Celtic6600143+1118
8Aberdeen621367-17

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Celtic vs Aberdeen

  • 2 September 2026Celtic 3–0 AberdeenPremiership
  • 4 March 2026Aberdeen 1–2 CelticPremiership
  • 21 December 2025Celtic 3–1 AberdeenPremiership
  • 10 August 2025Aberdeen 0–2 CelticPremiership
  • 24 May 2025Aberdeen 1–1 CelticFA Cup
  • 14 May 2025Aberdeen 1–5 CelticPremiership

Leading scorers: Celtic and Aberdeen

Celtic

  • C. Durán3 goals3 assists
  • B. Nygren3 goals3 assists
  • K. Høgh3 goals

Aberdeen

  • K. Nisbet2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.