Celtic vs Aberdeen Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Celtic 3-0 Aberdeen.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Celtic, 25% draw, 21% Aberdeen — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Celtic at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Celtic vs Aberdeen
Line-ups
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 51C. DonovanD
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 6A. TrustyD
- 5L. ScalesD
- 42C. McGregorM
- 23H. HassanM
- 8B. NygrenM
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 13Yang Hyun-JunM
- 11C. DuranF
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 56A. RalstonD
- 47D. MurrayD
- 18O. SorensenM
- 49J. ForrestM
- 17S. TounektiF
- 14L. McCowanM
- 22M. BaurM
- 29S. MheukaF
- 27M. MullerG
- 28C. CaddenD
- 23L. MayoD
- 5M. KnoesterD
- 21G. MolloyD
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 17S. ArmstrongM
- 32A. AremuM
- 10A. BriedlM
- 15K. NisbetF
- 9A. MoulouaF
- 13N. SumanG
- 2N. DevlinD
- 22J. MilneD
- 11L. SmithF
- 25C. RonanM
- 40F. Marshall
- 7T. YoganeF
- 31M. NteloF
- 20T. OlusanyaF
Form going into Celtic vs Aberdeen
Celtic
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Falkirk29 August 2026
- L1-5away to Lask Linz25 August 2026
- W3-0Lask Linz19 August 2026
- W5-1away to Kilmarnock9 August 2026
- W1-0Dundee3 August 2026
Aberdeen
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Rangers30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Dundee8 August 2026
- W2-1Heart of Midlothian1 August 2026
What these results say
- Celtic scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Celtic won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Celtic had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 31 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Celtic vs Aberdeen
- 4 March 2026Aberdeen 1–2 CelticPremiership
- 21 December 2025Celtic 3–1 AberdeenPremiership
- 10 August 2025Aberdeen 0–2 CelticPremiership
- 24 May 2025Aberdeen 1–1 CelticFA Cup
- 14 May 2025Aberdeen 1–5 CelticPremiership
Leading scorers: Celtic and Aberdeen
Celtic
GoalsAssists
- C. Durán76
- B. Nygren64
- K. Høgh33
Aberdeen
GoalsAssists
- K. Nisbet43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Celtic beat Aberdeen 3–0. The model had made a win for Celtic its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: C. Duran 14' for Celtic, B. Nygren 34' for Celtic, Yang Hyun-Jun 45' for Celtic.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.