2 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Dundee vs St Johnstone Premiership prediction & result

Dens Park, Dundee
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Dundee, 28% draw, 35% St Johnstone — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dundee at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dundee96%Draw4%St Johnstone0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

63'
Zach Mitchell
🔁Alan Forrestout: Finlay Robertson
64'
🔁Bobby Walesout: Bradley·Fink
64'
73'
🔁Taylor Stevenout: Kai Fotheringham
73'
🔁Ruari Patonout: Josh Fowler
🔁Brad Hallidayout: Drey Wright
73'
🔁Joseph Bevanout: Charlie Reilly
77'
84'
Sam Stanton
85'
🔁Jamie Gullanout: Macaulay Tait
⚽Charlie Reilly
87'
88'
🔁Jason Holtout: Logan Chalmers
90'
⚽Josh Fowlerassist: Macaulay Tait

Match stats — Dundee vs St Johnstone

48%Possession52%
10Shots15
2On target3
2Corners5

Line-ups

Dundee 4-4-2
  • 1O. GoodmanG
  • 2B. HallidayD
  • 4R. AstleyD
  • 5O. BevanD
  • 3I. OdutayoD
  • 27J. BevanM
  • 8R. FinniganM
  • 48E. HamiltonM
  • 14A. ForrestM
  • 9B. WalesF
  • 19J. WestleyF
Substitutes
  • 13K. O'HaraG
  • 26J. WrightD
  • 12I. SamuelsD
  • 17Z. BesirM
  • 28C. JonesM
  • 7D. WrightM
  • 18C. ReillyF
  • 10F. Robertson
  • 21B. FinkD
Coach: Steven Pressley
St Johnstone 4-4-2
  • 1T. StewardG
  • 26M. ToddD
  • 5Z. MitchellD
  • 3C. DiabateD
  • 2E. AlicD
  • 11S. StantonM
  • 8J. HoltM
  • 42R. McAlearM
  • 7T. StevenM
  • 99R. PatonF
  • 10J. GullanF
Substitutes
  • 20R. SinclairG
  • 33L. SmithD
  • 14M. FouldsD
  • 4M. BoyesD
  • 6B. MikulicD
  • 25M. TaitM
  • 23L. ChalmersM
  • 9J. FowlerF
  • 18K. FotheringhamF
Coach: Simo Valakari

Form going into Dundee vs St Johnstone

Dundee

  • L1-2Hibernian30 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Dundee United22 August 2026
  • W2-0Aberdeen8 August 2026

St Johnstone

  • L1-2away to Heart of Midlothian29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to St Mirren8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Dundee621376+17
7St Johnstone621389-17

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dundee vs St Johnstone

  • 2 September 2026Dundee 1–1 St JohnstonePremiership
  • 18 May 2025St Johnstone 0–2 DundeePremiership
  • 1 March 2025Dundee 1–1 St JohnstonePremiership
  • 5 January 2025St Johnstone 1–3 DundeePremiership
  • 26 October 2024Dundee 1–2 St JohnstonePremiership
  • 30 March 2024St Johnstone 1–2 DundeePremiership

Leading scorers: Dundee and St Johnstone

Dundee

  • J. Westley2 goals

St Johnstone

  • J. Fowler4 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.