Dundee vs St Johnstone Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Dundee, 28% draw, 35% St Johnstone — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dundee at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee vs St Johnstone
Line-ups
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 2B. HallidayD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 27J. BevanM
- 8R. FinniganM
- 48E. HamiltonM
- 14A. ForrestM
- 9B. WalesF
- 19J. WestleyF
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 26J. WrightD
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 17Z. BesirM
- 28C. JonesM
- 7D. WrightM
- 18C. ReillyF
- 10F. Robertson
- 21B. FinkD
- 1T. StewardG
- 26M. ToddD
- 5Z. MitchellD
- 3C. DiabateD
- 2E. AlicD
- 11S. StantonM
- 8J. HoltM
- 42R. McAlearM
- 7T. StevenM
- 99R. PatonF
- 10J. GullanF
- 20R. SinclairG
- 33L. SmithD
- 14M. FouldsD
- 4M. BoyesD
- 6B. MikulicD
- 25M. TaitM
- 23L. ChalmersM
- 9J. FowlerF
- 18K. FotheringhamF
Form going into Dundee vs St Johnstone
Dundee
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Hibernian30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Dundee United22 August 2026
- W2-0Aberdeen8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Celtic3 August 2026
St Johnstone
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Heart of Midlothian29 August 2026
- L0-1away to St Mirren8 August 2026
- W4-3Kilmarnock2 August 2026
What these results say
- Dundee scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Dundee had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee vs St Johnstone
- 18 May 2025St Johnstone 0–2 DundeePremiership
- 1 March 2025Dundee 1–1 St JohnstonePremiership
- 5 January 2025St Johnstone 1–3 DundeePremiership
- 26 October 2024Dundee 1–2 St JohnstonePremiership
- 30 March 2024St Johnstone 1–2 DundeePremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee and St Johnstone
Dundee
GoalsAssists
- B. Fink40
- J. Westley40
St Johnstone
GoalsAssists
- J. Fowler61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dundee and St Johnstone drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dundee at 37% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Charlie Reilly 87' for Dundee, Josh Fowler 90' for St Johnstone.