Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zbrojovka Brno 1-0 Hradec Králové.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Zbrojovka Brno, 30% draw, 32% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zbrojovka Brno at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové
Line-ups
- 1A. HrdinaG
- 39J. KlimaD
- 26F. Vedral
- 3Kaka
- 6L. PenxaM
- 68J. JanetzkyM
- 23P. SevcikM
- 17J. ZmrhalM
- 19B. KanakimanaF
- 15D. VasulinF
- 14T. VachousekF
- 78O. ProdelalG
- 18D. GranecnyD
- 44A. DanteD
- 4E. HunalD
- 10A. VanicekM
- 20L. SaalM
- 8P. CavosM
- 29P. ZitnyM
- 11M. RymarenkoF
- 12A. ZadrazilG
- 7J. UhrincatD
- 5F. CihakD
- 3F. MielkeD
- 2D. LudvicekM
- 16V. DaridaM
- 11S. DancakM
- 26D. HorakM
- 27D. TrubacF
- 19T. SloncikF
- 10M. van BurenF
- 1P. VizekG
- 20M. VagnerG
- 4T. PetrasekD
- 33R. AbajasD
- 30J. ChvatalM
- 9M. ValentaM
- 6E. NetoM
- 58A. VlkanovaM
- 14J. HodekF
Form going into Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové
Zbrojovka Brno
- W3-2Zlin29 August 2026
- W2-0away to Teplice23 August 2026
Hradec Králové
- L0-2away to Slovan Liberec30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zbrojovka Brno | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Hradec Králové | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Králové
- 2 September 2026Zbrojovka Brno 1–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 12 November 2025Zbrojovka Brno 0–3 Hradec KrálovéCup
- 8 April 2023Zbrojovka Brno 1–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 15 October 2022Hradec Králové 2–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 18 June 2020Hradec Králové 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoFNL
- 28 September 2019Zbrojovka Brno 2–1 Hradec KrálovéFNL
Leading scorers: Zbrojovka Brno and Hradec Králové
Zbrojovka Brno
- D. Vašulín4 goals
- A. Vaníček3 goals1 assists
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.