2 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

FC Thun vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result

Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time0 – 0

Final score: FC Thun 0-0 Lausanne.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Thun, 29% draw, 34% Lausanne — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Thun at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Thun4%Draw92%Lausanne4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
•Simon Lengen
61'
🔁E. Molebeout: S. Traore
🔁T. Strannegardout: F. Fehr
62'
🔁S. Lengenout: F. Dursun
62'
Furkan Dursun
63'
71'
🔁N. Butler-Oyedejiout: N. Cozza
71'
🔁S. Koneout: S. N'Diaye
🔁N. Reichmuthout: F. Saiz
75'
🔁J. Rothout: M. Kait
81'
🔁B. Labeauout: N. Christoffersson
82'
86'
🔁O. Custodioout: K. Koindredi
Nassim Zoukit
88'
Fabio Fehr
90+3'
90'
Abdou Karim Sow

Match stats — FC Thun vs Lausanne

57%Possession43%
22Shots10
5On target3
6Corners2

Line-ups

FC Thun 4-4-2
  • 1N. SteffenG
  • 37L. DahlerD
  • 5N. BurgyD
  • 19J. BamertD
  • 18T. StrannegardD
  • 30N. MaierM
  • 16J. RothM
  • 13N. ZoukitM
  • 70N. ReichmuthM
  • 80S. LengenF
  • 96B. LabeauF
Substitutes
  • 25T. SpycherG
  • 23M. BurkiD
  • 54L. PassavantD
  • 47F. FehrD
  • 14M. KaitM
  • 8F. Saiz
  • 21D. DerbaciM
  • 26N. ChristofferssonF
  • 9F. DursunF
Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Lausanne 4-2-3-1
  • 90M. MastilG
  • 2B. SoppyD
  • 71K. SowD
  • 18M. PoatyD
  • 6T. BergvallD
  • 80S. KoneM
  • 10O. CustodioM
  • 11N. Butler-OyedejiM
  • 91F. MolletM
  • 9E. MolebeM
  • 78O. JannehF
Substitutes
  • 1T. CastellaG
  • 31N. CozzaD
  • 20H. AbdallahD
  • 22T. CordierD
  • 5D. NgonzoD
  • 88K. KoindrediM
  • 47S. N'DiayeM
  • 7A. AjdiniF
  • 17S. TraoreF
Coach: Luka Elsner

Form going into FC Thun vs Lausanne

FC Thun

  • W4-3away to FC St. Gallen30 August 2026

Lausanne

  • L2-3FC Zurich29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Luzern22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10FC Thun82151322-97
12Lausanne8134711-46

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Thun vs Lausanne

  • 2 September 2026FC Thun 0–0 LausanneSuper League
  • 12 February 2026FC Thun 5–1 LausanneSuper League
  • 30 November 2025Lausanne 2–1 FC ThunSuper League
  • 3 August 2025FC Thun 2–1 LausanneSuper League
  • 20 March 2025Lausanne 2–2 FC ThunFriendlies Clubs
  • 5 January 2025Lausanne 3–0 FC ThunFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: FC Thun and Lausanne

FC Thun

  • B. Labeau3 goals

Lausanne

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.