Celtic vs Rangers Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Celtic 0-1 Rangers.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Celtic, 27% draw, 23% Rangers — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Celtic at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Celtic vs Rangers
Line-ups
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 6A. TrustyD
- 5L. ScalesD
- 51Colby DonovanM
- 14L. McCowanM
- 42C. McGregorM
- 22M. BaurM
- 63K. TierneyM
- 8B. NygrenF
- 11C. DuránF
- 23H. HassanF
- 47D. MurrayD
- 49J. ForrestM
- 29Shumaira MheukaF
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 9K. HøghF
- 56A. RalstonD
- 17S. TounektiF
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 10Minsu KimM
- 6D. NeilM
- 43N. RaskinM
- 23D. GassamaM
- 20R. NaderiM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 26B. BouananiF
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 52Findlay CurtisF
- 14C. DevlinM
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 31L. KellyG
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 28B. MiovskiF
Form going into Celtic vs Rangers
Celtic
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Ferencvarosi TC17 September 2026
- W1-0away to St Johnstone9 September 2026
- W2-1away to St Mirren5 September 2026
- W3-0Aberdeen2 September 2026
- W2-1Falkirk29 August 2026
Rangers
All competitions we cover
- W1-0St Mirren9 September 2026
- W1-0Motherwell5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Falkirk2 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aberdeen30 August 2026
- L0-1away to FK Jablonec27 August 2026
What these results say
- Celtic scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Celtic won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Celtic had three goals or more.
- Rangers won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rangers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rangers had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Celtic vs Rangers
- 13 September 2026Rangers 3–0 CelticLeague Cup
- 10 May 2026Celtic 3–1 RangersPremiership
- 8 March 2026Rangers 0–0 CelticFA Cup
- 1 March 2026Rangers 2–2 CelticPremiership
- 3 January 2026Celtic 1–3 RangersPremiership
Leading scorers: Celtic and Rangers
Celtic
GoalsAssists
- C. Durán76
- B. Nygren64
- K. Høgh33
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi63
- K. Kelsy40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rangers won 1–0 at Celtic. The model had leaned towards a win for Celtic at 50% and given a win for Rangers 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Ryan Naderi 33' for Rangers.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.