St Mirren vs Dundee United Premiership prediction & result
Final score: St Mirren 0-3 Dundee United.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% St Mirren, 28% draw, 28% Dundee United — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
St Mirren at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — St Mirren vs Dundee United
Line-ups
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 47C. RamsayD
- 13A. GogićD
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 3D. JohnD
- 8R. CarrM
- 30F. TaylorM
- 19Ismeal KabiaM
- 88K. PhillipsM
- 48P. NsioM
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 26M. De BarrosD
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 37C. McEvoyM
- 23C. MochrieM
- 31R. MullenG
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 16L. ThomasM
- 20J. YoungF
- 24J. FarquharF
- 1J. WaltonG
- 23J. RawlinsD
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 18M. ForbesD
- 19K. CiubotaruD
- 14Zidane IqbalM
- 10D. TaitM
- 16L. CameronM
- 21J. RandallF
- 93I. MetsokoF
- 77D. BennieF
- 20N. FarrugiaF
- 11W. FerryM
- 4I. IovuD
- 22D. NaamoD
- 15L. RoseF
- 9Z. SapsfordM
- 26Abdoulaye YoroM
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 30J. AmissahG
Form going into St Mirren vs Dundee United
St Mirren
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Rangers9 September 2026
- L1-2Celtic5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Kilmarnock2 September 2026
- D3-3Motherwell30 August 2026
- W1-0St Johnstone8 August 2026
Dundee United
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Falkirk5 September 2026
- L0-3away to Motherwell2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Kilmarnock29 August 2026
- L0-2Dundee22 August 2026
- L0-4away to Heart of Midlothian9 August 2026
What these results say
- St Mirren scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dundee United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dundee United conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 14 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: St Mirren vs Dundee United
- 17 May 2026St Mirren 1–1 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 3 March 2026Dundee United 2–1 St MirrenPremiership
- 6 December 2025St Mirren 2–0 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 25 October 2025Dundee United 3–1 St MirrenPremiership
- 10 May 2025Dundee United 0–2 St MirrenPremiership
Leading scorers: St Mirren and Dundee United
St Mirren
No player in Premiership's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Dundee United
GoalsAssists
- J. Randall33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dundee United won 3–0 at St Mirren. The model had leaned towards a win for St Mirren at 44% and given a win for Dundee United 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jesse Randall 6' for Dundee United, Lyall Cameron 12' for Dundee United, Kevin Ciubotaru 45' for Dundee United.
How the call on St Mirren v Dundee United has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Dundee United's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- St Mirren win44%▼ −3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Dundee United win28%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.