Cremonese vs Modena Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Cremonese 0-3 Modena.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% Cremonese, 22% draw, 13% Modena — fair odds of 1.54, 4.55 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cremonese at 65% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Cremonese vs Modena
Cremonese
- L0-1away to Empoli22 August 2026
Modena
- W2-1away to Benevento22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cremonese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cremonese vs Modena
- 26 January 2025Cremonese 2–2 ModenaSerie B
- 29 October 2024Modena 2–2 CremoneseSerie B
- 3 March 2024Modena 0–1 CremoneseSerie B
- 23 December 2023Cremonese 4–0 ModenaSerie B
- 20 October 2022Cremonese 4–2 ModenaCoppa Italia
Leading scorers: Cremonese and Modena
Cremonese
- F. Bonazzoli3 goals1 assists
Modena
- G. Caso2 goals
- G. Olzer2 goals
- G. Ambrosino1 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.