28 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

FC Voluntari vs Oțelul Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu, Voluntari
Full time2 – 2

Final score: FC Voluntari 2-2 Oțelul.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% FC Voluntari, 26% draw, 31% Oțelul — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Voluntari at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Voluntari4%Draw92%Oțelul4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Guteaassist: M. Mamic
3'
6'
⚽Patrickassist: N. Pedro
⚽R. Gutea
14'
🔁M. Mamicout: M. Roman
56'
66'
🔁A. Ciobanuout: T. Lungu
66'
🔁M. Frunzaout: D. Bordun
68'
🔁M. Silvaout: D. Neicu
D. Harut
70'
72'
⚽N. Pedro (pen)
🔁M. Babicout: A. Chica-Rosa
77'
🔁I. Gheorgheout: L. Cvek
78'
90'
🔁Andrezinhoout: D. Neicu
🔁R. Guteaout: R. Petculescu
90+3'

Match stats — FC Voluntari vs Oțelul

40%Possession60%
15Shots14
5On target2
5Corners8

Line-ups

FC Voluntari 4-4-2
  • 31Metod JurharG
  • 23Matej MamićD
  • 27Radu CrişanD
  • 4Daniel DumbrăvanuD
  • 30Alexandru ȘuteuD
  • 19Marvin SchiebM
  • 5Denis HaruțM
  • 44Mihael OnișaM
  • 11Remus GuțeaM
  • 8Ion GheorgheF
  • 9Matko BabićF
Substitutes
  • 90Mihai Roman IIF
  • 14Eduard ChioveanuG
  • 25David KikiD
  • 7Daniel TomaM
  • 22Nuno RodriguesM
  • 40Lovro CvekM
  • 10Cristian MerloiF
  • 21Robert PetculescuF
  • 28Mario ȘtefanM
Coach: Florin Pirvu
Oțelul 4-2-3-1
  • 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
  • 5Habib SyllaD
  • 2Milen ZhelevD
  • 6Paul IacobD
  • 28Miguel SilvaD
  • 17Andrei CiobanuM
  • 8João LameiraM
  • 30Matei FrunzăM
  • 27Pedro NunoM
  • 10AndrézinhoM
  • 9Patrick FernandesF
Substitutes
  • 39Teodor LunguM
  • 24Denis BordunM
  • 15Cristian NeicuF
  • 12Darius PaharnicuG
  • 13Mario ContraG
  • 16Dan NeicuD
  • 20Robert OlteanuM
  • 18Dragoș AfteneM
  • 77Alexandru BălănicăF
Coach: Stjepan Tomas

Form going into FC Voluntari vs Oțelul

FC Voluntari

  • L1-3away to Universitatea Craiova23 August 2026
  • L1-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 August 2026

Oțelul

  • W1-0Arges Pitesti24 August 2026
  • D1-1Universitatea Craiova16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15FC Voluntari9225920-118
13Oțelul9243912-310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Oțelul

  • 13 April 2024FC Voluntari 1–1 OțelulLiga I
  • 22 January 2024FC Voluntari 1–1 OțelulLiga I
  • 25 August 2023Oțelul 2–2 FC VoluntariLiga I

Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and Oțelul

FC Voluntari

  • R. Guțea4 goals

Oțelul

  • Patrick4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.