28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest NB I prediction & result

Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Debreceni VSC 2-2 MTK Budapest.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Debreceni VSC, 31% draw, 28% MTK Budapest — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Debreceni VSC at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Debreceni VSC3%Draw94%MTK Budapest3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
⚽G. Jurek (pen)
Josua Mejías
20'
20'
Kristóf Hinora
⚽C. Denesassist: A. Szendrei
30'
32'
Mihály Kata
34'
⚽G. Jurekassist: I. Bognar
Csanád Vilmos Dénes
38'
⚽B. Dzsudzsak
47'
69'
🔁I. Bognarout: D. Zsori
🔁A. Szendreiout: S. Kaye
72'
🔁D. Pataiout: L. Myrtaj
76'
76'
🔁M. Timoteusout: S. Szuhodovszki
Balázs Dzsudzsák
79'
🔁G. Terczaout: R. Keller
80'
80'
🔁Z. Kerezsiout: A. G. Zubor
85'
Ádám Zubor

Match stats — Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

62%Possession38%
21Shots14
8On target7
15Corners3

Line-ups

Debreceni VSC 4-1-4-1
  • 1P. AndreevG
  • 23G. TerczaD
  • 4J. MejiasD
  • 2D. SzakalD
  • 3A. GuerreroD
  • 75D. PataiM
  • 97C. DenesM
  • 10B. DzsudzsakM
  • 6B. BoskovicM
  • 99F. CiblaM
  • 11A. Szendrei
Substitutes
  • 89D. PoserG
  • 12B. ErdelyiG
  • 49V. KulbachukD
  • 72R. KellerD
  • 20M. MacsoM
  • 18S. KayeF
  • 24I. EgriF
  • 8L. MyrtajM
  • 78C. Sain BalaszM
Coach: Gert Remmel
MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. DemjenG
  • 2B. VarjuD
  • 26V. ArmalasD
  • 4I. BeriashviliD
  • 13M. TimoteusD
  • 17K. HinoraM
  • 6M. KataM
  • 11G. JurekM
  • 10I. BognarM
  • 77G. KomaromiM
  • 20Z. KerezsiF
Substitutes
  • 24T. FadgyasG
  • 40M. Pikacs
  • 47G. CsokaD
  • 5D. HorvathD
  • 8A. G. ZuborM
  • 29S. SzuhodovszkiM
  • 45D. VargaM
  • 7D. ZsoriF
  • 48M. VasM
Coach: Mate Pinezits

Form going into Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

Debreceni VSC

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Kisvarda FC23 August 2026
  • D1-1Gyori ETO FC16 August 2026
  • L1-5away to FC Copenhagen12 August 2026
  • W1-0Nyiregyhaza9 August 2026
  • L0-3FC Copenhagen6 August 2026

MTK Budapest

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Nyiregyhaza22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Ujpest15 August 2026
  • L2-3Puskas Academy7 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Budapest Honved1 August 2026
  • W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE27 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Debreceni VSC136432418+622
10MTK Budapest133461827-913

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

  • 27 February 2026Debreceni VSC 2–2 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 9 November 2025MTK Budapest 3–0 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 1 August 2025Debreceni VSC 1–0 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 3 May 2025Debreceni VSC 0–0 MTK BudapestNB I
  • 7 February 2025MTK Budapest 0–2 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 28 September 2024Debreceni VSC 2–3 MTK BudapestNB I

Leading scorers: Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest

Debreceni VSC

GoalsAssists

  • Á. Szendrei62
  • B. Dzsudzsák42
  • C. Denes33

MTK Budapest

GoalsAssists

  • G. Jurek71
  • Zalán Márk Kerezsi43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Debreceni VSC at 41% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: G. Jurek (penalty) 19' for MTK Budapest, C. Denes 30' for Debreceni VSC, G. Jurek 34' for MTK Budapest, B. Dzsudzsak 47' for Debreceni VSC.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.