Ujpest vs Vasas NB I prediction & result
Final score: Ujpest 3-1 Vasas.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Ujpest, 29% draw, 37% Vasas — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Vasas at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ujpest vs Vasas
Line-ups
- 1P. SzappanosG
- 94P. StronatiD
- 5A. FiolaD
- 17A. MatkoM
- 10A. MaierM
- 88M. LjujicM
- 11K. HorvathM
- 15M. MucsanyiF
- 14E. AmenyidoF
- 36F. Ujvary
- 3Heitor
- 32D. DomboG
- 23D. BanaiG
- 2G. BodnarD
- 30J. NunesD
- 45A. AdemiM
- 77N. FenyoM
- 8N. Szendrei
- 27A. KrajcsovicsF
- 38K. Sarkadi
- 22V. GeyD
- 57P. IyinborD
- 17D. CsokaD
- 87M. Engedi
- 10M. KovacsretiM
- 14A. Doktorics
- 9M. KosztaF
- 88J. UrblikF
- 24S. Mezei
- 15S. Hidi
- 77M. Toth
- 26J. Uram
- 36B. BarathD
- 4B. Pavkovics
- 68A. Girsik
- 34K. OtigbaD
- 94B. CsekeM
- 8B. Z. Bano-SzaboM
- 29B. PethoF
- 7A. RadoF
Form going into Ujpest vs Vasas
Ujpest
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Paks21 August 2026
- D1-1MTK Budapest15 August 2026
- W4-2away to Kisvarda FC8 August 2026
- W4-2Debreceni VSC2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza24 July 2026
Vasas
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Puskas Academy22 August 2026
- W2-1away to Budapest Honved14 August 2026
- W5-0Zalaegerszegi TE8 August 2026
- D0-0away to Ferencvarosi TC2 August 2026
- D2-2Gyori ETO FC26 July 2026
What these results say
- Ujpest conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ujpest scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Ujpest.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ujpest | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 | Vasas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ujpest vs Vasas
- 6 July 2024Vasas 4–3 UjpestFriendlies Clubs
- 5 July 2023Ujpest 2–3 VasasFriendlies Clubs
- 6 May 2023Ujpest 1–1 VasasNB I
- 12 February 2023Vasas 0–1 UjpestNB I
- 11 September 2022Ujpest 2–1 VasasNB I
- 8 October 2021Vasas 2–1 UjpestFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Ujpest and Vasas
Ujpest
GoalsAssists
- A. Matko63
- E. Amenyido45
- G. Vlijter32
Vasas
GoalsAssists
- J. Urblík33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ujpest beat Vasas 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Vasas at 37% and given a win for Ujpest 34%. The goals: P. Iyinbor 48' for Vasas, E. Amenyido 71' for Ujpest, A. Matko (penalty) 75' for Ujpest, G. Vlijter 82' for Ujpest.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.