Genk vs SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Genk 4-0 SK Beveren.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Genk, 25% draw, 17% SK Beveren — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Genk at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Genk vs SK Beveren
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28L. BrughmansG
- 77Z. El OuahdiD
- 6M. SmetsD
- 44J. KongoloD
- 18J. KayembeD
- 21I. BangouraM
- 8B. HeynenM
- 10J. ItoM
- 11J. ErenbjergM
- 30A. YokoyamaM
- 17R. DurosinmiF
- 26T. LawalG
- 20K. AmaroD
- 19Y. MedinaD
- 38D. HeymansM
- 24N. SattlbergerM
- 29R. MirisolaF
- 32N. Adedeji-SternbergF
- 23A. BiboutF
- 33J. AfriyieF
- 1J. SchenkG
- 21L. JansD
- 35Y. GomisD
- 31B. GodeauD
- 4C. JanssensD
- 18S. DewaeleM
- 8F. SlegersM
- 34K. AbrahamsM
- 22C. BrulsM
- 5C. LokesaM
- 92L. MertensF
- 84J. LusambaG
- 2D. ThompsonD
- 48J. RobatschD
- 44C. CondeM
- 14L. KuavitaM
- 6D. RigoM
- 10G. De SchryverM
- 17J. MargarithaF
- 9E. KaboreF
Form going into Genk vs SK Beveren
Genk
All competitions we cover
- D4-4away to Antwerp22 August 2026
- W3-2KVC Westerlo15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Zulte Waregem9 August 2026
SK Beveren
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Zulte Waregem22 August 2026
- W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Antwerp9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 15 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Genk vs SK Beveren
- 8 July 2026Genk 2–1 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 30 October 2024SK Beveren 0–2 GenkCup
- 27 December 2020Genk 1–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 3 October 2020SK Beveren 1–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Genk and SK Beveren
Genk
GoalsAssists
- R. Durosinmi60
SK Beveren
GoalsAssists
- C. Lokesa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Genk beat SK Beveren 4–0. The model had made a win for Genk its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: R. Durosinmi (penalty) 9' for Genk, J. Ito 19' for Genk, J. Kongolo 43' for Genk, J. Kayembe 74' for Genk. On expected goals it finished 3.06–0.61.