Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Austria Lustenau 0-4 WSG Wattens.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Austria Lustenau, 26% draw, 28% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Austria Lustenau at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30P. BohmG
- 7F. GmeinerD
- 15E. ChukwuD
- 29N. PertlwieserD
- 3Danilo SoaresD
- 8D. KacuriM
- 11D. WeixelbraunM
- 20L. AfrifaM
- 24S. DiarraM
- 17A. GashiM
- 39A. VerinacF
- 33F. FlatzG
- 18R. VoisineD
- 31M. MaakD
- 21AnilsonD
- 26L. IbertsbergerD
- 19S. DelayeM
- 61H. IsmailcebiogluM
- 9L. JastremskiF
- 14P. BenjaminF
- 1S. HamzicG
- 5D. MurrayD
- 23M. BorasD
- 3D. GugganigD
- 28M. OswaldD
- 11M. SatinM
- 6M. StriednigM
- 18H. BalicM
- 36T. GoigingerM
- 17M. OlakigbeM
- 8N. Baden FrederiksenF
- 13A. EckmayrG
- 27D. JauneggD
- 14D. KubattaD
- 39G. BedianashviliD
- 43N. CelicM
- 15M. BambaraM
- 32R. GschosserM
- 16L. HinterseerF
- 9A. Ola-AdebomiF
Form going into Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Sturm Graz22 August 2026
- W2-1Wolfsberger AC15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Grazer AK8 August 2026
- D1-1Ried2 August 2026
WSG Wattens
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Red Bull Salzburg16 August 2026
- L1-3away to SCR Altach7 August 2026
- D1-1Sturm Graz1 August 2026
What these results say
- Austria Lustenau scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Austria Lustenau conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Austria Lustenau.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 11 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens
- 31 January 2026Austria Lustenau 0–6 WSG WattensFriendlies Clubs
- 27 April 2024WSG Wattens 0–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 30 March 2024Austria Lustenau 1–2 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 11 February 2024WSG Wattens 0–2 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 17 September 2023Austria Lustenau 2–3 WSG WattensBundesliga
Leading scorers: Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau
GoalsAssists
- D. Weixelbraun61
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
WSG Wattens won 4–0 at Austria Lustenau. The model had leaned towards a win for Austria Lustenau at 46% and given a win for WSG Wattens 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Olakigbe 42' for WSG Wattens, N. Baden Frederiksen 52' for WSG Wattens, M. Striednig 60' for WSG Wattens, N. Baden Frederiksen (penalty) 66' for WSG Wattens. On expected goals it finished 1.04–2.43.