28 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens Bundesliga prediction & result

Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Full time0 – 4

Final score: Austria Lustenau 0-4 WSG Wattens.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Austria Lustenau, 26% draw, 28% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Austria Lustenau at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Austria Lustenau0%Draw1%WSG Wattens99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

42'
⚽M. Olakigbe
Antonio Verinac
47'
52'
⚽N. Baden Frederiksenassist: M. Olakigbe
60'
⚽M. Striednigassist: T. Goiginger
64'
•Drew Murray
Phillip Bohm
66'
66'
⚽N. Baden Frederiksen (pen)
🔁L. Afrifaout: S. Delaye
67'
🔁A. Gashiout: L. Jastremski
67'
🔁A. Verinacout: P. Benjamin
67'
69'
Moritz Oswald
71'
🔁M. Satinout: N. Celic
71'
🔁N. Baden Frederiksenout: L. Hinterseer
🔁F. Gmeinerout: Anilson
74'
78'
🔁H. Balicout: G. Bedianashvili
78'
🔁T. Goigingerout: R. Gschosser
🔁N. Pertlwieserout: R. Voisine
86'
87'
🔁D. Murrayout: D. Jaunegg

Match stats — Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens

52%Possession48%
8Shots14
2On target6
8Corners12
1.04xG2.43

Goals against chances

Austria Lustenau0 from 1.04 xGless than the chances were worth
WSG Wattens4 from 2.43 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Austria Lustenau 4-1-4-1
  • 30P. BohmG
  • 7F. GmeinerD
  • 15E. ChukwuD
  • 29N. PertlwieserD
  • 3Danilo SoaresD
  • 8D. KacuriM
  • 11D. WeixelbraunM
  • 20L. AfrifaM
  • 24S. DiarraM
  • 17A. GashiM
  • 39A. VerinacF
Substitutes
  • 33F. FlatzG
  • 18R. VoisineD
  • 31M. MaakD
  • 21AnilsonD
  • 26L. IbertsbergerD
  • 19S. DelayeM
  • 61H. IsmailcebiogluM
  • 9L. JastremskiF
  • 14P. BenjaminF
Coach: Markus Mader
WSG Wattens 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. HamzicG
  • 5D. MurrayD
  • 23M. BorasD
  • 3D. GugganigD
  • 28M. OswaldD
  • 11M. SatinM
  • 6M. StriednigM
  • 18H. BalicM
  • 36T. GoigingerM
  • 17M. OlakigbeM
  • 8N. Baden FrederiksenF
Substitutes
  • 13A. EckmayrG
  • 27D. JauneggD
  • 14D. KubattaD
  • 39G. BedianashviliD
  • 43N. CelicM
  • 15M. BambaraM
  • 32R. GschosserM
  • 16L. HinterseerF
  • 9A. Ola-AdebomiF
Coach: Philipp Semlic

Form going into Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens

Austria Lustenau

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Sturm Graz22 August 2026
  • W2-1Wolfsberger AC15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Grazer AK8 August 2026
  • D1-1Ried2 August 2026

WSG Wattens

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3Red Bull Salzburg16 August 2026
  • L1-3away to SCR Altach7 August 2026
  • D1-1Sturm Graz1 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Austria Lustenau123271530-1511
7WSG Wattens123451518-313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens

  • 31 January 2026Austria Lustenau 0–6 WSG WattensFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 April 2024WSG Wattens 0–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
  • 30 March 2024Austria Lustenau 1–2 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 11 February 2024WSG Wattens 0–2 Austria LustenauBundesliga
  • 17 September 2023Austria Lustenau 2–3 WSG WattensBundesliga

Leading scorers: Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens

Austria Lustenau

GoalsAssists

  • D. Weixelbraun61

WSG Wattens

GoalsAssists

  • N. Frederiksen50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

WSG Wattens won 4–0 at Austria Lustenau. The model had leaned towards a win for Austria Lustenau at 46% and given a win for WSG Wattens 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Olakigbe 42' for WSG Wattens, N. Baden Frederiksen 52' for WSG Wattens, M. Striednig 60' for WSG Wattens, N. Baden Frederiksen (penalty) 66' for WSG Wattens. On expected goals it finished 1.04–2.43.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.