31 August 2026, 22:00 UTC

Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 Platense.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Defensa Y Justicia, 26% draw, 28% Platense — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Defensa Y Justicia at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Defensa Y Justicia96%Draw4%Platense0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
Tomás Ariel Silva
Leandro Fernández
26'
Santiago Sosa
35'
César Pérez
38'
50'
Agustín Lagos
61'
🔁T. Silvaout: J. Saborido
61'
🔁N. Lopezout: F. Zapiola
61'
🔁G. Togniout: J. Gauto
🔁L. Fernandezout: A. Hausch
66'
🔁S. Sosaout: T. Martinez
66'
⚽D. Martinezassist: D. Barbona
75'
🔁D. Barbonaout: M. Porcel
79'
•Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
80'
84'
🔁K. Retamarout: G. Lencina
84'
🔁G. Maineroout: F. Minerva
89'
Pablo Ferreira
90+6'
Pablo Ferreira
90+6'
Pablo Ferreira
🔁J. Gutierrezout: E. Burdin
90+4'

Match stats — Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense

56%Possession44%
10Shots14
3On target3
6Corners7
1.22xG0.74

Goals against chances

Defensa Y Justicia1 from 1.22 xGabout what the chances were worth
Platense0 from 0.74 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Defensa Y Justicia 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. BorgognoG
  • 28V. LozaD
  • 29D. FernandezD
  • 21D. MartinezD
  • 3F. RomanD
  • 15S. SosaM
  • 24J. GutierrezM
  • 19D. BarbonaM
  • 8C. PerezM
  • 11T. PerrottaM
  • 9L. FernandezF
Substitutes
  • 36L. AmadeG
  • 16A. PortilloM
  • 2S. LuceroD
  • 6E. BurdinD
  • 30D. DominguezD
  • 17A. HauschF
  • 22M. PorcelM
  • 26J. LuccoF
  • 45T. MartinezM
Coach: Mariano Soso
Platense 4-4-2
  • 30J. CozzaniG
  • 4A. LagosD
  • 13I. VazquezD
  • 31Victor CuestaD
  • 3T. SilvaD
  • 7G. MaineroM
  • 26P. FerreiraM
  • 24M. BarriosM
  • 16G. TogniM
  • 11N. LopezF
  • 43K. RetamarF
Substitutes
  • 22N. SumavilG
  • 6E. RaggioD
  • 25J. SaboridoD
  • 34M. MendiaD
  • 5I. GomezM
  • 10F. ZapiolaM
  • 23L. HerediaM
  • 18B. MerliniF
  • 99G. LencinaF
Coach: Martin Palermo

Form going into Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense

Defensa Y Justicia

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Belgrano Cordoba23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Velez Sarsfield17 August 2026
  • W2-1Newell's Old Boys9 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Estudiantes La Plata1 August 2026
  • W2-1Deportivo Riestra29 July 2026

Platense

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Barracas Central23 August 2026
  • D1-1Boca Juniors16 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Independiente9 August 2026
  • L0-4Talleres Cordoba3 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba30 July 2026

What these results say

  • Defensa Y Justicia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Defensa Y Justicia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Defensa Y Justicia had three goals or more.
  • Platense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Platense conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Defensa Y Justicia168442115+628
10Platense165561820-220

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense

  • 24 February 2026Platense 0–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 September 2025Defensa Y Justicia 1–2 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 March 2025Platense 0–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 29 July 2024Defensa Y Justicia 1–3 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 31 January 2024Defensa Y Justicia 3–0 PlatenseCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 27 August 2023Platense 0–0 Defensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense record →

The result against the call

Defensa Y Justicia beat Platense 1–0. The model had made a win for Defensa Y Justicia its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: D. Martinez 75' for Defensa Y Justicia. Sent off: Pablo Ferreira (Platense) 90+6'. On expected goals it finished 1.22–0.74.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.