Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Instituto Cordoba 1-0 San Lorenzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Instituto Cordoba, 27% draw, 23% San Lorenzo — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Instituto Cordoba at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29M. LedesmaG
- 30J. GalvanD
- 26L. MosevichD
- 6F. R. AlarconD
- 44G. CeratoM
- 55G. AbreguM
- 15M. GallardoM
- 3D. SosaM
- 20J. E. Cordoba MosqueraF
- 17M. TisseraF
- 21J. LazaroF
- 35E. O. Sittaro MirandaG
- 2H. De La FuenteD
- 22A. MassaccesiD
- 32A. BravoD
- 23A. MeliD
- 90P. BasterM
- 13J. MendezM
- 8J. AcevedoM
- 14W. VieraM
- 25J. DevecchiG
- 32E. HerreraD
- 2D. ArboledaD
- 19E. AmorD
- 3T. Rodriguez PaganoD
- 5I. PerruzziM
- 11M. RealiM
- 22J. AlvarezM
- 24N. TripichioM
- 9A. CuelloM
- 29R. AuzmendiF
- 20F. AltamiranoG
- 6M. De RitisD
- 16G. CorujoD
- 35A. CordobaD
- 8M. InsaurraldeM
- 27M. RioM
- 62G. AlassiaM
- 39U. OjedaM
- 13J. RattalinoM
Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago16 August 2026
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza9 August 2026
- W1-0away to Lanus3 August 2026
- W2-1Platense30 July 2026
San Lorenzo
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto21 August 2026
- W1-0Union Santa Fe15 August 2026
- L0-2Huracan9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza28 July 2026
What these results say
- Instituto Cordoba went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Instituto Cordoba won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Instituto Cordoba scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for San Lorenzo had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo
- 24 February 2026San Lorenzo 1–1 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 August 2025San Lorenzo 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 February 2025Instituto Cordoba 0–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 October 2024Instituto Cordoba 2–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 May 2023San Lorenzo 2–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Instituto Cordoba and San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
San Lorenzo
GoalsAssists
- R. Auzmendi72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Instituto Cordoba beat San Lorenzo 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Instituto Cordoba at 50%. The goal: G. Cerato 53' for Instituto Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 1.59–0.28.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.