Remo vs Coritiba Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Remo 2-3 Coritiba.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Remo, 31% draw, 33% Coritiba — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Remo at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Remo vs Coritiba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 18D. TchambaD
- 6MarlonD
- 28Ze WelisonM
- 14L. PiccoM
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 55Ze RicardoM
- 21A. GaleanoM
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 97IvanG
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 27Ze IvaldoD
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 4Matheus FelipeD
- 8PatrickM
- 26David BragaM
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 1Pedro MoriscoG
- 44Joao Pedro ChermontD
- 23Tiago CoserD
- 55JacyD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 50TissiM
- 19S. GomezM
- 7J. LavegaM
- 88Fernando SobralM
- 77Breno LopesM
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 13KeillerG
- 3MaiconD
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 30KhensaneM
- 39GustavoM
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
- 28FabinhoF
Form going into Remo vs Coritiba
Remo
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Fluminense22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Internacional17 August 2026
- D2-2Atletico Mineiro8 August 2026
- L1-2away to Mirassol29 July 2026
- W2-0Vitoria26 July 2026
Coritiba
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Corinthians23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Sao Paulo16 August 2026
- W2-1Chapecoense8 August 2026
- L0-1Cruzeiro31 July 2026
- D0-0away to RB Bragantino26 July 2026
What these results say
- Remo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Remo failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Remo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Coritiba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 13 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Remo vs Coritiba
- 15 March 2026Coritiba 1–0 RemoSerie A
- 23 August 2025Coritiba 0–0 RemoSerie B
- 22 April 2025Remo 1–0 CoritibaSerie B
- 4 October 2021Remo 0–0 CoritibaSerie B
- 2 July 2021Coritiba 2–1 RemoSerie B
Leading scorers: Remo and Coritiba
Remo
GoalsAssists
- Jája Silva91
Coritiba
GoalsAssists
- Pedro Rocha91
- Breno Lopes81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Coritiba won 3–2 at Remo. The model had leaned towards a win for Remo at 36% and given a win for Coritiba 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Ze Welison (own goal) 47' for Coritiba, Ze Ricardo 61' for Remo, Yago Pikachu 64' for Remo, Fabinho 76' for Coritiba, Pedro Rocha 90' for Coritiba. On expected goals it finished 3.27–2.08.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.