1 September 2026, 00:15 UTC

Tigre vs Barracas Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Buenos Aires
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Tigre 0-0 Barracas Central.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Tigre, 28% draw, 31% Barracas Central — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Tigre at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tigre5%Draw92%Barracas Central3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁F. Brueraout: J. Candia
47'
Dardo Miloc
48'
Nicolás Demartini
🔁M. Garayout: B. Leyes
65'
65'
🔁D. Martinezout: R. Barrios
🔁S. Lopezout: T. Serrago
69'
🔁J. Saraleguiout: I. Subiabre
69'
🔁M. Mendezout: A. Oviedo
78'
78'
🔁N. Briascoout: G. Maroni
78'
🔁E. Pereyraout: R. Insua
81'
•Jhonatan Candia
Ian Subiabre
90+4'
90+4'
Gonzalo Maroni

Match stats — Tigre vs Barracas Central

51%Possession49%
6Shots14
1On target2
3Corners5
0.27xG0.61

Goals against chances

Tigre0 from 0.27 xGabout what the chances were worth
Barracas Central0 from 0.61 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Tigre 4-4-2
  • 12F. T. ZenobioG
  • 4V. MorenoD
  • 20A. BarrionuevoD
  • 32J. VillalbaD
  • 3N. BanegasD
  • 10J. SaraleguiM
  • 8M. GarayM
  • 27S. GonzalezM
  • 22S. LopezM
  • 33M. MendezF
  • 29I. RussoF
Substitutes
  • 26L. MoralesG
  • 23G. RequenaD
  • 24F. AlvarezD
  • 40L. MinnitiD
  • 5B. LeyesM
  • 30J. EliasM
  • 21S. MedinaM
  • 11T. SerragoM
  • 19A. OviedoF
Coach: Diego Dabove
Barracas Central 5-3-2
  • 30M. MinoG
  • 4D. MartinezD
  • 14K. JappertD
  • 15Y. RakD
  • 31N. DemartiniD
  • 17E. PereyraD
  • 8T. PorraM
  • 5D. MilocM
  • 10I. TapiaM
  • 77F. BrueraF
  • 11N. BriascoF
Substitutes
  • 1J. EspinolaG
  • 37G. CampiD
  • 13R. BarriosD
  • 2N. CapraroD
  • 33G. MaroniM
  • 28R. BogarinM
  • 35E. RolonM
  • 24E. TabordaF
  • 20J. CandiaF
Coach: Damian Ayude

Form going into Tigre vs Barracas Central

Tigre

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Central Cordoba de Santiago24 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Aldosivi15 August 2026
  • W1-0River Plate8 August 2026
  • D0-0Belgrano Cordoba6 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Racing Club1 August 2026

Barracas Central

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Platense23 August 2026
  • L0-1Rosario Central16 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Gimnasia La Plata9 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Deportivo Riestra2 August 2026
  • W1-0Aldosivi29 July 2026

What these results say

  • Tigre went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Barracas Central had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Tigre165471616019
5Barracas Central167541713+426

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Tigre vs Barracas Central

  • 25 February 2026Barracas Central 2–1 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 20 October 2025Tigre 2–2 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 12 April 2025Barracas Central 1–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 December 2024Barracas Central 0–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 17 July 2023Tigre 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 11 June 2022Tigre 1–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Tigre vs Barracas Central record →

Leading scorers: Tigre and Barracas Central

Tigre

GoalsAssists

  • I. Russo83
  • M. Méndez73
  • D. Romero72

Barracas Central

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Tigre and Barracas Central drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Tigre at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.27–0.61.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.