31 August 2026, 22:00 UTC

Estudiantes La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Estudiantes La Plata 0-0 Newell's Old Boys.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Estudiantes La Plata, 28% draw, 25% Newell's Old Boys — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Estudiantes La Plata at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Estudiantes La Plata5%Draw92%Newell's Old Boys3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁E. Mancusoout: E. Meza
46'
🔁L. Pioviout: A. Castro
46'
Leandro González Pírez
55'
73'
🔁F. Guchout: J. Gomez
73'
🔁T. Riosout: M. E. Garcia
🔁J. Burgosout: E. Cetre
74'
🔁J. Correaout: B. Aguirre
74'
80'
🔁R. Herreraout: L. Gomez
80'
🔁M. Coccaroout: F. Scarpeccio
🔁B. Rodriguezout: A. Gaich
83'
88'
Lucas Gómez
90+2'
🔁W. Mazzanttiout: O. Salomon

Match stats — Estudiantes La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys

63%Possession37%
24Shots9
8On target2
6Corners0
2.03xG1.07

Goals against chances

Estudiantes La Plata0 from 2.03 xGless than the chances were worth
Newell's Old Boys0 from 1.07 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Estudiantes La Plata 4-2-3-1
  • 16F. MusleraG
  • 40E. MancusoD
  • 4S. NunezD
  • 14L. Gonzalez PirezD
  • 13G. BenedettiD
  • 21L. PioviM
  • 8Gabriel NevesM
  • 31B. RodriguezM
  • 32J. CorreaM
  • 17J. BurgosM
  • 9G. CarrilloF
Substitutes
  • 1F. IacovichG
  • 26R. Funes MoriD
  • 20E. MezaD
  • 24T. PalaciosD
  • 7J. SosaM
  • 22A. CastroM
  • 52B. KociubinskiM
  • 18E. CetreF
  • 19A. GaichF
Coach: Alexander Medina
Newell's Old Boys 4-2-3-1
  • 30J. ReinattiG
  • 6M. OrtegaD
  • 25B. CabreraD
  • 17L. GiannettiD
  • 24F. EscobarD
  • 26R. HerreraM
  • 5L. RegiardoM
  • 7W. MazzanttiM
  • 20F. GuchM
  • 39T. RiosM
  • 9M. CoccaroF
Substitutes
  • 21G. AriasG
  • 22O. SalomonD
  • 16L. CarrizoD
  • 15A. SonoraM
  • 27L. GomezM
  • 10V. AcunaM
  • 19J. GomezM
  • 35B. BenedettoM
  • 18M. E. GarciaF
Coach: Lucas Bernardi

Form going into Estudiantes La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys

Estudiantes La Plata

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 August 2026
  • W4-0Gimnasia La Plata15 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Deportivo Riestra8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Boca Juniors5 August 2026
  • W3-0Defensa Y Justicia1 August 2026

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Banfield23 August 2026
  • W2-0Deportivo Riestra15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Defensa Y Justicia9 August 2026
  • D2-2Boca Juniors2 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Independiente31 July 2026

What these results say

  • Newell's Old Boys scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Newell's Old Boys conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Estudiantes La Plata164482122-116
6Newell's Old Boys165831613+323

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Estudiantes La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys

  • 25 February 2026Newell's Old Boys 0–2 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 30 September 2025Newell's Old Boys 1–1 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 15 March 2025Estudiantes La Plata 1–1 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 August 2024Newell's Old Boys 1–4 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 19 February 2024Estudiantes La Plata 2–0 Newell's Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 24 September 2023Newell's Old Boys 0–1 Estudiantes La PlataCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Estudiantes La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys record →

The result against the call

Estudiantes La Plata and Newell's Old Boys drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Estudiantes La Plata at 47% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 2.03–1.07.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.