Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica HNL prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HNK Gorica.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Dinamo Zagreb, 28% draw, 22% HNK Gorica — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Zagreb at 50% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
- D2-2away to Istra 196129 August 2026
- W3-1NK Varazdin22 August 2026
- W4-0Rudes14 August 2026
HNK Gorica
- D0-0HNK Rijeka31 August 2026
- L0-2away to NK Slaven Belupo22 August 2026
- L1-2HNK Hajduk Split16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dinamo Zagreb | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 13 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
- 2 May 2026HNK Gorica 1–2 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
- 8 April 2026HNK Gorica 3–6 Dinamo ZagrebCup
- 1 March 2026Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 HNK GoricaHNL
- 1 December 2025HNK Gorica 0–2 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
- 14 September 2025Dinamo Zagreb 1–2 HNK GoricaHNL
- 23 April 2025HNK Gorica 1–0 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
Leading scorers: Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
- D. Beljo7 goals3 assists
HNK Gorica
- B. Bogojević3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.