Dundee vs Motherwell Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Dundee, 28% draw, 28% Motherwell — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dundee at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee vs Motherwell
Line-ups
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 7D. WrightD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 14A. ForrestM
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
- 16J. MoorhouseM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 21B. FinkF
- 6M. AkinmboniD
- 27J. BevanM
- 60R. BlandM
- 2B. HallidayD
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 52C. OosenbrughD
- 9B. WalesF
- 47Ashton LeiperD
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 7T. SparrowD
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 8L. FadingerM
- 71J. HodgeM
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 11A. LowryM
- 19I. SaidM
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenF
- 13J. KangaM
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 63D. LevittM
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 2S. O'DonnellD
- 77W. VogtF
- 20Dylan WilliamsD
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 15E. BjörgólfssonF
Form going into Dundee vs Motherwell
Dundee
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Heart of Midlothian6 September 2026
- D1-1St Johnstone2 September 2026
- L1-2Hibernian30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Dundee United22 August 2026
- W2-0Aberdeen8 August 2026
Motherwell
All competitions we cover
- L0-4Aberdeen15 September 2026
- L0-1away to Rangers5 September 2026
- W3-0Dundee United2 September 2026
- D3-3away to St Mirren30 August 2026
- L1-4away to SC Freiburg27 August 2026
What these results say
- Dundee scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Motherwell failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Motherwell conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Motherwell had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee vs Motherwell
- 7 March 2026Dundee 2–1 MotherwellPremiership
- 20 December 2025Motherwell 1–0 DundeePremiership
- 13 September 2025Dundee 1–1 MotherwellPremiership
- 3 May 2025Dundee 1–2 MotherwellPremiership
- 26 February 2025Motherwell 2–1 DundeePremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee and Motherwell
Dundee
GoalsAssists
- B. Fink40
- J. Westley40
Motherwell
GoalsAssists
- A. Lowry31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dundee beat Motherwell 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Dundee at 44%. The goals: Joe Westley (penalty) 23' for Dundee, Bradley·Fink 40' for Dundee, Alex·Lowry 44' for Motherwell.
How the call on Dundee v Motherwell has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Dundee's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Dundee win44%▲ +9
- Draw28%=
- Motherwell win28%▼ −9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.