Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris.
Before kick-off the model made it 78% Beşiktaş, 14% draw, 8% Kauno Žalgiris — fair odds of 1.28, 7.14 and 12.50.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. Second leg: Kauno Žalgiris v Beşiktaş, 27 Aug →
Beşiktaş went through 3–1 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Beşiktaş at 78%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris
Line-ups
- 1A. NubelG
- 53E. TopcuD
- 62M. MurilloD
- 35T. DjaloD
- 33R. YilmazD
- 6S. OzcanM
- 18V. CernyM
- 15J. OlaitanM
- 10O. KokcuM
- 19L. TrossardF
- 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
- 80D. AlemdarG
- 12E. AgbadouD
- 22T. BulutD
- 58Y. OzcanD
- 11K. OuattaraD
- 7M. RashicaM
- 4W. NdidiM
- 5A. HadziahmetovicM
- 8K. Kayra YilmazM
- 55T. SvedkauskasG
- 45J. MoutachyD
- 3A. TolordavaD
- 77R. LekiatasD
- 33M. KonatarD
- 14V. SlivkaM
- 20A. KalikM
- 7A. BenchaibF
- 32F. BaldassarraM
- 9L. KrekovicM
- 27G. DebeljuhF
- 22D. MikelionisG
- 23A. HernandezD
- 37N. Iyobosa EdokpolorD
- 17I. FiolicM
- 10G. SirgedasM
- 8Y. KarashimaM
- 70F. OuregaM
- 19Renan OliveiraF
- 62L. Kastrati
Form going into Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris
Beşiktaş
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Eyüpspor16 August 2026
- W1-0Hradec Králové13 August 2026
- W1-0away to Hradec Králové6 August 2026
- W2-0away to FC Midtjylland30 July 2026
- W1-0FC Midtjylland23 July 2026
Kauno Žalgiris
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Dinamo Zagreb11 August 2026
- L0-5away to Dinamo Zagreb4 August 2026
- W1-0KI Klaksvik29 July 2026
- D0-0away to KI Klaksvik21 July 2026
What these results say
- Beşiktaş won every one of these 5 matches.
- Beşiktaş scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Beşiktaş kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kauno Žalgiris failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beşiktaş | UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris
Beşiktaş
GoalsAssists
- J. Olaitan23
- Oh Hyeon-Gyu21
Kauno Žalgiris
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beşiktaş beat Kauno Žalgiris 3–0. The model had made a win for Beşiktaş its most likely outcome, at 78%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Oh Hyeon-Gyu 6' for Beşiktaş, M. Murillo 12' for Beşiktaş, O. Kokcu (penalty) 59' for Beşiktaş.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.