Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris.
Before kick-off the model made it 78% Beşiktaş, 14% draw, 8% Kauno Žalgiris — fair odds of 1.28, 7.14 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beşiktaş at 78% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris
Beşiktaş
- W1-0Eyüpspor16 August 2026
Kauno Žalgiris
- L1-2Dinamo Zagreb11 August 2026
- L0-5away to Dinamo Zagreb4 August 2026
- W1-0KI Klaksvik29 July 2026
- D0-0away to KI Klaksvik21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 12 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Kauno Žalgiris has not started the league season yet. Full tables: Süper Lig · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris
Beşiktaş
- D. Vlahović4 goals
- V. Černý2 goals
Kauno Žalgiris
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.