22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Empoli vs Cremonese Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Full time1 0

Final score: Empoli 1-0 Cremonese.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Empoli, 28% draw, 38% Cremonese — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Cremonese at 38% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Empoli420234-16
15Cremonese411257-24

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Empoli vs Cremonese

  • 14 April 2023Cremonese 1–0 EmpoliSerie A
  • 11 November 2022Empoli 2–0 CremoneseSerie A
  • 13 April 2021Cremonese 2–2 EmpoliSerie B
  • 15 December 2020Empoli 1–0 CremoneseSerie B
  • 3 March 2020Cremonese 2–3 EmpoliSerie B
  • 3 December 2019Cremonese 1–0 EmpoliCoppa Italia

Leading scorers: Empoli and Cremonese

Empoli

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Cremonese

  • F. Bonazzoli3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.