Benevento vs Modena Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Benevento 1-2 Modena.
Before kick-off the model made it 80% Benevento, 13% draw, 7% Modena — fair odds of 1.25, 7.69 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Benevento at 80% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Benevento | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Benevento vs Modena
- 13 May 2023Benevento 2–1 ModenaSerie B
- 18 December 2022Modena 1–1 BeneventoSerie B
Leading scorers: Benevento and Modena
Benevento
- F. Salvemini2 goals
Modena
- G. Caso2 goals
- G. Olzer2 goals
- G. Ambrosino1 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.