Avellino vs Arezzo Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Avellino 1-2 Arezzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Avellino, 24% draw, 41% Arezzo — fair odds of 2.86, 4.17 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arezzo at 41% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avellino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 | Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Avellino and Arezzo
Avellino
- R. Russo2 goals1 assists
- M. Besaggio2 goals
Arezzo
- P. Cianci2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.