15 August 2026, 19:45 UTC

Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Estudiantes La Plata 4-0 Gimnasia La Plata.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Estudiantes La Plata, 24% draw, 30% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Estudiantes La Plata at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia La Plata

Estudiantes La Plata

  • L0-2away to Deportivo Riestra8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Boca Juniors5 August 2026
  • W3-0Defensa Y Justicia1 August 2026
  • L0-2Independiente26 July 2026

Gimnasia La Plata

  • W2-0Barracas Central9 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Aldosivi2 August 2026
  • W1-0River Plate29 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Racing Club24 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia La Plata

  • 15 February 2026Gimnasia La Plata 0–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 8 December 2025Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 19 October 2025Estudiantes La Plata 2–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 13 April 2025Gimnasia La Plata 1–1 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 28 July 2024Estudiantes La Plata 4–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 25 February 2024Gimnasia La Plata 0–0 Estudiantes La PlataCopa de la Liga Profesional

Leading scorers: Estudiantes La Plata and Gimnasia La Plata

Estudiantes La Plata

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Gimnasia La Plata

  • M. Torres8 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.