San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: San Lorenzo 1-0 Union Santa Fe.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% San Lorenzo, 24% draw, 33% Union Santa Fe — fair odds of 2.33, 4.17 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts San Lorenzo at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
- L0-2Huracan9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus26 July 2026
Union Santa Fe
- L1-2Central Cordoba de Santiago11 August 2026
- W2-1Lanus6 August 2026
- L0-2away to Gimnasia Mendoza1 August 2026
- D2-2away to Platense25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe
- 14 February 2026Union Santa Fe 0–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15 June 2024Union Santa Fe 2–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 February 2024San Lorenzo 0–0 Union Santa FeCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 4 September 2023Union Santa Fe 1–1 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 25 February 2023San Lorenzo 1–0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 July 2022San Lorenzo 2–2 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
- R. Auzmendi6 goals
Union Santa Fe
- C. Tarragona14 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.