Mjallby AIF vs Sirius Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Mjallby AIF 4-3 Sirius.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Mjallby AIF, 21% draw, 43% Sirius — fair odds of 2.78, 4.76 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sirius at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs Sirius
Line-ups
- 13Robin WallinderG
- 5Abdullah IqbalD
- 2Ludvig SvanbergD
- 24Tom PetterssonD
- 14Villiam GranathM
- 22Jesper GustavssonM
- 7Viktor GustafsonM
- 26Ian HoffmannM
- 10Jeppe KjaerF
- 18Jacob BergströmF
- 23Áki SamuelsenF
- 25Max NielsenD
- 33Tony MiettinenD
- 29Olle LindbergM
- 9Ali YoussefF
- 27Ludvig TidstrandM
- 35Alexander LundinG
- 4Axel NorénD
- 39Romeo LeanderssonM
- 3Martin AgnarssonD
- 34David CelicG
- 5Henrik CastegrenD
- 2Mohamed SoumahD
- 4Tobias AnkerD
- 22Oscar KrusnellD
- 24Victor SvenssonM
- 10Melker HeierM
- 6Marcus LindbergM
- 19Noel MilleskogF
- 16Otso LiimattaF
- 11Isak BjerkeboF
- 36August LjungbergF
- 21Charlie NildenM
- 7Joakim PerssonF
- 25Odera Samuel AdinduF
- 1Ismael DiawaraG
- 15Simon SandbergD
- 20Victor EkstromD
- 18Adam WikmanM
- 23Finlay NeatF
Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Sirius
Mjallby AIF
- L0-2away to Slovan Bratislava11 August 2026
- L0-1IF Elfsborg8 August 2026
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava4 August 2026
- D0-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC28 July 2026
- L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026
Sirius
- D2-2IF Brommapojkarna10 August 2026
- W2-0away to Halmstad3 August 2026
- W4-1IFK Goteborg26 July 2026
- W3-1away to IF Elfsborg19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 22 |
| 1 | Sirius | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs Sirius
- 15 August 2026Mjallby AIF 4–3 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 3 July 2026Sirius 4–4 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 27 July 2025Mjallby AIF 2–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 14 July 2025Sirius 1–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 3 November 2024Sirius 1–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 6 July 2024Mjallby AIF 3–2 SiriusAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and Sirius
Mjallby AIF
- J. Bergström8 goals
Sirius
- R. Ure15 goals2 assists
- I. Bjerkebo13 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.