Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Rennes 0-0 Olympiakos Piraeus.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Rennes, 28% draw, 30% Olympiakos Piraeus — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rennes at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30B. SambaG
- 14B. ReynoldsD
- 24A. RouaultD
- 4C. CresswellD
- 5Gonçalo OliveiraD
- 18M. NagidaD
- 17S. SzymańskiM
- 28A. ThomassonM
- 45M. CamaraM
- 11Mousa TamariF
- 22B. DiaF
- 60Kilian BelazzougG
- 90I. SoumaréF
- 21V. RongierM
- 70A. NordinF
- 26Q. MerlinD
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 16N. LemaîtreG
- 48A. Ait BoudlalD
- 10L. BlasF
- 1S. OrtegaG
- 2M. SaliakasD
- 45P. RetsosD
- 6David CarmoD
- 70S. OnyemaechiD
- 15G. PuertaM
- 32S. HezzeM
- 17L. BaileyM
- 8Gustavo SáM
- 7K. FortounisM
- 34A. GonzálezF
- 11R. YaremchukF
- 22ChiquinhoM
- 19R. FreulerM
- 89P. ToufakisM
- 71N. TiknizyanD
- 4Z. SmajlovićD
- 5L. PirolaD
- 27M. PedersenD
- 10Gelson MartinsM
Form going into Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Rennes
UEFA Europa League
- D2-2away to Juventus22 October 2026
- W2-1OFI15 October 2026
- D0-0away to Sturm Graz16 September 2026
Olympiakos Piraeus
UEFA Europa League
- W1-0Sparta Praha22 October 2026
- W1-0away to Marseille15 October 2026
- W2-1Jagiellonia16 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Rennes and Olympiakos Piraeus drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Rennes at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.61–1.03.
How the call on Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 38% / 28% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Rennes's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Rennes win42%▲ +4
- Draw28%=
- Olympiakos Piraeus win30%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.