6 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane Botola Pro prediction & result

Stade Adrar, Agadir
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Hassania Agadir 2-2 Renaissance Berkane.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Hassania Agadir, 29% draw, 42% Renaissance Berkane — fair odds of 3.45, 3.45 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Renaissance Berkane at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hassania Agadir3%Draw93%Renaissance Berkane4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Jamal Harkass
22'
⚽Mounir Chouiarassist: Oussama Lamlaoui
Imad Riahi
26'
31'
🔁Mounir Chouiarout: Omar El Manssouri
⚽Tumisang Orebonye
44'
46'
🔁Youssef Mehriout: Ryan Mendes
46'
🔁Ayoub Khairiout: Youssef Aït Bennasser
Tumisang Orebonye
48'
⚽Imad Riahiassist: Ayoub Bennadi
56'
61'
🔁Abdelghafour Lamiratout: H. Raji
🔁Tumisang Orebonyeout: Mustapha Sahd
71'
🔁Amine Azriout: a brayim
71'
🔁Imad Riahiout: Salaheddine Benyachou
75'
🔁Jalal Tachtachout: Mehdi akoumi
75'
81'
🔁Hamza El Moussaouiout: Mohammed Essahel
Euclides Cabral
85'
88'
⚽Oussama Lamlaouiassist: Ryan Mendes
Ayoub Boucheta
90'

Match stats — Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane

49%Possession51%
12Shots7
8On target3
6Corners5

Line-ups

Hassania Agadir 4-2-3-1
  • 1G. MerbahG
  • 19Euclides da Silva CabralD
  • 4I. HrilaD
  • 15A. QasmiD
  • 24A. BouchetaD
  • 5J. TachtachM
  • 42M. DoumbiaM
  • 20I. RiahiM
  • 2A. BennadiM
  • 11A. AzriF
  • 28Tumisang OrebonyeF
Substitutes
  • 14A. Ait BrayimM
  • 32E. AkoumiM
  • 6M. BahsainD
  • 7Salaheddine BenyachouF
  • 31I. MotikG
  • 10A. QassaqM
  • 18M. SahdF
  • 13A. SahnouneD
  • 27A. TarraziM
Coach: H. Et-Tair
Renaissance Berkane 4-2-3-1
  • 1Munir El KajouiG
  • 20H. ManaoutD
  • 27I. KandoussD
  • 5J. HarkassD
  • 19H. El MoussaouiD
  • 15A. LamiratD
  • 8A. KhairiM
  • 11Y. MehriF
  • 17Y. LabhiriF
  • 23M. ChouiarF
  • 9O. LamlaouiF
Substitutes
  • 18Mohammed Amine EssahelM
  • 30M. IlyassD
  • 10Ryan MendesF
  • 32mohamed ouyahiaM
  • 7H. RajiM
  • 22Y. El MotieG
  • 26O. El ManssouriM
  • 6Y. Aït BennasserM
  • 14R. AabidF
Coach: Bubista

Form going into Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane

Hassania Agadir

Botola Pro

  • L0-1away to FUS Rabat31 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Raja Casablanca28 October 2026
  • D2-2FAR Rabat12 October 2026
  • W5-2away to CR Khemis Zemamra8 October 2026

Renaissance Berkane

Botola Pro

  • W2-0Raja Casablanca1 November 2026
  • D0-0away to Maghreb Fès29 October 2026
  • D2-2CR Khemis Zemamra13 October 2026
  • D0-0away to UTS Rabat8 October 2026

What these results say

  • Hassania Agadir conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Hassania Agadir failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Hassania Agadir scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Renaissance Berkane went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Renaissance Berkane failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Renaissance Berkane kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Hassania Agadir72321412+29
9Renaissance Berkane615064+28

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane

  • 14 June 2026Hassania Agadir 1–0 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
  • 4 March 2026Renaissance Berkane 2–1 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
  • 13 April 2025Hassania Agadir 2–0 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
  • 23 November 2024Renaissance Berkane 2–1 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
  • 10 March 2024Hassania Agadir 0–2 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
  • 4 November 2023Renaissance Berkane 0–0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro

The result against the call

Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Renaissance Berkane at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Mounir Chouiar 22' for Renaissance Berkane, Tumisang Orebonye 44' for Hassania Agadir, Imad Riahi 56' for Hassania Agadir, Oussama Lamlaoui 88' for Renaissance Berkane.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hassania Agadir a 5.4% chance to finish in the bottom four: 0.0% after a win, 0.0% after a draw, 11.6% after a defeat. The draw was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 5.4 points lower than before the match.

For Renaissance Berkane the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 30.9% going in: 0.0% after a win, 5.9% after a draw, 100.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 5.9%, 25 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Botola Pro season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hassania Agadir v Renaissance Berkane has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 33% / 28% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 29% / 29% / 42%: the biggest move is Hassania Agadir's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Hassania Agadir win29%▼ −4
  2. Draw29%▲ +1
  3. Renaissance Berkane win42%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.