9 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Gagra.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% FC Iberia 1999, 26% draw, 17% Gagra — fair odds of 1.75, 3.85 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Iberia 1999 at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Iberia 199998%Draw2%Gagra0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

giorgi kobuladze
42'
46'
🔁alexander feikrishviliout: Illia skrypnyk
🔁Giorgi Beridzeout: marc jean tiboue
46'
🔁Lucas Oliveira Bruneout: stephen jighjigh ende
46'
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava
53'
53'
Pedro Borges
62'
🔁Viktor Bliznichenkoout: Saba Zoidze
69'
🔁gela sadghobelashviliout: Vladimir·Arsic
69'
🔁Guram Goshtelianiout: Andrey andreychuk
🔁nika sikharulashviliout: Giorgi Kutsia
78'
78'
🔁wandersonout: luka kekelidze
⚽Amiran Dzaganiaassist: stephen jighjigh ende
84'
🔁Amiran Dzaganiaout: Lado Chikhradze
88'
🔁Nikoloz Dadianiout: Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi
88'
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi
90+3'

Match stats — FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra

56%Possession44%
10Shots13
4On target3
9Corners1

Line-ups

FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
  • 31G. MakaridzeG
  • 40G. KobuladzeD
  • 25A. AmisulashviliD
  • 3P. CancarD
  • 5J. JinjolavaD
  • 6N. DadianiM
  • 19N. SikharulashviliM
  • 8B. KardavaM
  • 18Lucas BruneM
  • 9A. DzaganiaF
  • 26G. BeridzeF
Substitutes
  • 14I. AlhassanM
  • 30N. BochorishviliD
  • 29L. ChikhradzeF
  • 17S. EndeF
  • 23E. KulievM
  • 27G. KutsiaM
  • 7D. KvartskhavaF
  • 1T. MegrelishviliG
  • 33marc jean tiboueD
Coach: L. Korghalidze
Gagra 4-1-4-1
  • 1O. VorobeyG
  • 22G. SadghobelashviliD
  • 5Y. NazarovD
  • 2AugustoD
  • 40ClaudineiD
  • 6M. TsintsadzeM
  • 18V. BliznichenkoF
  • 21alexander feikrishviliM
  • 25WandersonM
  • 7P. BorgesD
  • 30G. GoshtelianiF
Substitutes
  • 23A. AndreychukF
  • 4V. ArsićD
  • 3O. ChochiaD
  • 35Alexander TimchenkoG
  • 10L. KekelidzeM
  • 19G. KhachidzeF
  • 8I. SkrypnykM
  • 14Z. TchavtchanidzeD
  • 11S. ZoidzeF
Coach: V. Khachidze

Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra

FC Iberia 1999

Erovnuli Liga

  • D0-0away to Dinamo Tbilisi31 October 2026
  • W3-2Torpedo Kutaisi26 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Dila19 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Meshakhte10 October 2026

Gagra

Erovnuli Liga

  • D2-2Rustavi1 November 2026
  • D0-0away to Spaeri23 October 2026
  • L1-3Dinamo Batumi17 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Samgurali11 October 2026

What these results say

  • FC Iberia 1999 went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • FC Iberia 1999 won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Iberia 1999 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Gagra did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Gagra conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Gagra had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Iberia 19993218594633+1359
9Gagra32613132846-1831

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra

  • 31 August 2026Gagra 2–0 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 20 May 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–0 GagraErovnuli Liga
  • 3 April 2026Gagra 1–2 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 6 December 2025FC Iberia 1999 2–1 GagraErovnuli Liga
  • 3 October 2025Gagra 1–3 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 29 May 2025FC Iberia 1999 3–1 GagraErovnuli Liga

The result against the call

FC Iberia 1999 beat Gagra 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Iberia 1999 at 57%. The goal: Amiran Dzagania 84' for FC Iberia 1999.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Iberia 1999 a 25.2% chance to finish top of the regular season: 31.5% after a win, 15.7% after a draw, 9.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.5%, 6.3 points higher than before the match.

For Gagra the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 96.1% going in: 89.0% after a win, 96.1% after a draw, 98.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.1%, 2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.