9 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad 1. Division prediction & result

Hvidovre Stadium, Hvidovre
Referee: J. Kobberrod
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Hvidovre 3-0 Aarhus Fremad.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Hvidovre, 30% draw, 26% Aarhus Fremad — fair odds of 2.27, 3.33 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hvidovre at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hvidovre99%Draw1%Aarhus Fremad0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Bagouassist: O. Kjaergaard
14'
⚽L. Pripassist: O. Kjaergaard
35'
58'
🔁Y. Abdullahiout: K. Lunding
58'
🔁S. Baekgardout: E. Egerton
🔁N. Huygeveldeout: A. Smed
58'
⚽D. Bagouassist: M. Kiilerich
64'
🔁O. Kjaergaardout: M. Knudsen
74'
🔁A. Njaiout: A. Johansen
74'
🔁D. Bagouout: E. Aby
81'
81'
🔁M. Rybergout: I. Kristjansson
81'
🔁S. Andreasenout: M. de Claville
90'
🔁M. Kjolbyout: O. Hjaltason

Line-ups

Hvidovre
  • 1F. Djukic
  • 77A. Njai
  • 15A. Iljazovski
  • 25M. Kiilerich
  • 23N. Clausen
  • 3O. Jensen Juul
  • 7L. Prip
  • 8O. Jensen
  • 14O. Kjaergaard
  • 22N. Huygevelde
  • 11D. Bagou
Substitutes
  • 29A. Ravn
  • 2D. Stenderup
  • 28N. Jungvig
  • 6A. Okosun
  • 18M. Knudsen
  • 4Z. Aliji
  • 10A. Smed
  • 19A. Johansen
  • 24E. Aby
Coach: Martin Retov
Aarhus Fremad
  • 1V. Hojbjerg
  • 8S. Baekgard
  • 10M. Kirchheiner
  • 2M. Kjolby
  • 4A. Pisani
  • 15C. Nygaard
  • 7M. Kaastrup
  • 12M. Ryberg
  • 6F. Grube
  • 18Y. Abdullahi
  • 9S. Andreasen
Substitutes
  • 13V. de Paoli
  • 28E. Egerton
  • 23I. Kristjansson
  • 20O. Hjaltason
  • 11K. Lunding
  • 14L. Ronnberg
  • 70J. Beluli
  • 21M. de Claville
  • 22J. Ostergaard
Coach: Mathias Damgaard

Form going into Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad

Hvidovre

1. Division

  • D1-1away to Esbjerg31 October 2026
  • D2-2HB Koge23 October 2026
  • W1-0Hillerød18 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Vejle9 October 2026

Aarhus Fremad

1. Division

  • W2-0Hillerød1 November 2026
  • D0-0away to Vejle24 October 2026
  • D0-0Esbjerg16 October 2026
  • L0-2away to AB Copenhagen9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Hvidovre went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Hvidovre scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Hvidovre conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Aarhus Fremad had two goals or fewer.
  • Aarhus Fremad failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Aarhus Fremad failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Hvidovre149502713+1432
5Aarhus Fremad144641214-218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad

  • 19 September 2026Aarhus Fremad 1–3 Hvidovre1. Division
  • 1 November 2025Aarhus Fremad 0–0 Hvidovre1. Division
  • 15 August 2025Hvidovre 2–0 Aarhus Fremad1. Division

The result against the call

Hvidovre beat Aarhus Fremad 3–0. The model had made a win for Hvidovre its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: D. Bagou 14' for Hvidovre, L. Prip 35' for Hvidovre, D. Bagou 64' for Hvidovre.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hvidovre a 59.1% chance to finish top of the regular season: 68.6% after a win, 56.0% after a draw, 46.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 68.6%, 9.5 points higher than before the match.

For Aarhus Fremad the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 83.2% going in: 91.5% after a win, 84.4% after a draw, 78.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 78.7%, 4.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hvidovre v Aarhus Fremad has moved

First published on 26 Oct at 46% / 30% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 44% / 30% / 26%: the biggest move is Hvidovre's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Hvidovre win44%▼ −2
  2. Draw30%=
  3. Aarhus Fremad win26%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.