FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: FC Ingolstadt 04 2-4 SV Wehen.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% FC Ingolstadt 04, 29% draw, 24% SV Wehen — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Ingolstadt 04 at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
Line-ups
- 47D. KleinG
- 20Y. DeichmannD
- 6G. AntzoulasD
- 15J. ScholzD
- 19L. RosenlöcherD
- 18K. BennettsM
- 8F. CarlsenM
- 10D. KayginM
- 41V. ŠapinaM
- 28N. VelupillayM
- 13L. LokotschF
- 4Elias DeckerD
- 17O. UgonduF
- 23J. MaljojokiD
- 14Max PlathM
- 1M. PonathG
- 37B. KanurićM
- 5Emre GülM
- 16J. GandaF
- 34L. FrödeM
- 16F. StritzelG
- 17Ben NinkD
- 19F. HübnerD
- 15J. JanitzekD
- 18F. GreilingerD
- 22R. MassimoM
- 37M. BrandtM
- 6G. FechnerM
- 32R. PaulaM
- 21M. MüllerF
- 7L. SchleimerF
- 14M. SchultzD
- 45I. Ati AllahM
- 8D. BogićevićM
- 20Ayoub ChaikhounM
- 28M. FlothoF
- 10R. KalemM
- 41Finn Niklas LudwigG
- 5N. MayD
- 24T. NeubertD
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | SV Wehen | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | +9 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- 28 February 2026SV Wehen 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
- 20 September 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 SV Wehen3. Liga
- 10 May 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 2–3 SV Wehen3. Liga
- 14 December 2024SV Wehen 2–5 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
- 4 March 2023SV Wehen 4–1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Leading scorers: FC Ingolstadt 04 and SV Wehen
FC Ingolstadt 04
GoalsAssists
- O. Ugondu40
SV Wehen
GoalsAssists
- R. Massimo33
- R. Kalem32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Wehen won 4–2 at FC Ingolstadt 04. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 at 47% and given a win for SV Wehen 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Florian Hübner 59' for SV Wehen, Raul Paula 71' for SV Wehen, Michael Schultz (own goal) 72' for FC Ingolstadt 04, Obed Chidindu Ugondu 82' for FC Ingolstadt 04, Robin Kalem 88' for SV Wehen, Gino Fechner 90+1' for SV Wehen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Ingolstadt 04 a 10.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.2% after a win, 11.6% after a draw, 13.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.7%, 3 points higher than before the match.
For SV Wehen the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 34.2% going in: 25.7% after a win, 33.3% after a draw, 38.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 25.7%, 8.5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on FC Ingolstadt 04 v SV Wehen has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 44% / 30% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 47% / 29% / 24%: the biggest move is FC Ingolstadt 04's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- FC Ingolstadt 04 win47%▲ +3
- Draw29%▼ −1
- SV Wehen win24%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.