Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Hansa Rostock 0-2 SV Meppen.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Hansa Rostock, 22% draw, 17% SV Meppen — fair odds of 1.64, 4.55 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Hansa Rostock at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
Line-ups
- 1L. UnbehaunG
- 8Ouassim KaradaD
- 15A. GürleyenD
- 17F. CarstensD
- 32N. KölleD
- 5M. SchusterM
- 4K. FatkićM
- 27D. KopaczM
- 42B. DietzeM
- 43L. DajakuM
- 9A. VoglsammerF
- 3F. BohnertD
- 37M. BrzozowskiM
- 6J. DirknerM
- 11E. HoltenF
- 35M. KraußM
- 41Y. MichaelisF
- 31J. JantunenG
- 23F. PfanneD
- 22L. ReichardtD
- 44J. PüntG
- 2Dominique DomroseD
- 19L. SprekelmeyerD
- 33Stefan rankicD
- 3T. MißnerD
- 5J. FedlM
- 6E. ZehirM
- 31L. PrasseM
- 14T. DetersM
- 7O. SchmittM
- 17J. EhlersF
- 4Jona BorsumM
- 39F. BährD
- 1N. OberbeckG
- 11S. EngelmannF
- 10K. GhawiluM
- 13R. MeierF
- 20N. TougloD
- 23N. WesselsM
- 9C. AkonoF
Form going into Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
Hansa Rostock
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Würzburger Kickers10 October 2026
SV Meppen
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Stuttgart II10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | SV Meppen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
- 24 April 2021SV Meppen 2–3 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 13 December 2020Hansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 6 June 2020SV Meppen 0–3 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 5 October 2019Hansa Rostock 2–1 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 23 February 2019Hansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen3. Liga
Leading scorers: Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen
Hansa Rostock
GoalsAssists
- A. Voglsammer41
SV Meppen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Meppen won 2–0 at Hansa Rostock. The model had leaned towards a win for Hansa Rostock at 61% and given a win for SV Meppen 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: Stefan rankic 73' for SV Meppen, Nikell Touglo 89' for SV Meppen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hansa Rostock a 47.3% chance to finish in the top four: 50.0% after a win, 42.3% after a draw, 37.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 37.8%, 9.5 points lower than before the match.
For SV Meppen the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 48.9% going in: 40.3% after a win, 47.4% after a draw, 50.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.3%, 8.6 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 53% / 25% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 61% / 22% / 17%: the biggest move is Hansa Rostock's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Hansa Rostock win61%▲ +8
- Draw22%▼ −3
- SV Meppen win17%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.