Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Alemannia Aachen 2-5 FC Viktoria Köln.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Alemannia Aachen, 27% draw, 27% FC Viktoria Köln — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Alemannia Aachen at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln
Line-ups
- 1M. RiemannG
- 37J. da Silva KialaD
- 28D. WiebeD
- 2P. BagalianisD
- 7L. ScepanikM
- 8L. KösterM
- 10M. LouneM
- 3Matti WagnerM
- 17F. TorsielloM
- 20Georg ErmolaevF
- 27M. SchröersF
- 15M. HanrathsD
- 9D. StarodidF
- 38V. SulejmaniF
- 11M. WäschenbachM
- 30Justin-Kai von der HitzD
- 4D. LeonardD
- 29K. KoscierskiD
- 18Ken IzekorF
- 22T. HendriksG
- 1A. SchulzG
- 19M. SponselD
- 6T. EisenhuthD
- 18Tim KlossD
- 7Y. TonyeD
- 8T. DumanM
- 20Niklas SwiderM
- 28P. FallmannM
- 44N. CastelleM
- 21L. WolfM
- 10D. OttoF
- 11E. GueyeM
- 16N. JahnM
- 26K. JakobD
- 37N. Le BretF
- 17M. PledlM
- 9J. SachseF
- 22V. BoboyD
- 12D. WyciokG
- 24J. AmannM
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
| 1 | FC Viktoria Köln | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | +18 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln
- 10 May 2026FC Viktoria Köln 0–3 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
- 13 December 2025Alemannia Aachen 0–3 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
- 14 February 2025FC Viktoria Köln 3–1 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
- 15 September 2024Alemannia Aachen 1–0 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
Leading scorers: Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln
Alemannia Aachen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
FC Viktoria Köln
GoalsAssists
- D. Otto55
- N. Castelle52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Viktoria Köln won 5–2 at Alemannia Aachen. The model had leaned towards a win for Alemannia Aachen at 46% and given a win for FC Viktoria Köln 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Yannick Aime Tonye 11' for FC Viktoria Köln, Lucas Wolf 20' for FC Viktoria Köln, Lukas Scepanik 22' for Alemannia Aachen, Tim kloss 38' for FC Viktoria Köln, David Otto 40' for FC Viktoria Köln, Niklas Horst Castelle 58' for FC Viktoria Köln, Lukas Scepanik 90+5' for Alemannia Aachen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Alemannia Aachen a 44.2% chance to finish in the top four: 49.5% after a win, 40.4% after a draw, 36.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 36.4%, 7.8 points lower than before the match.
For FC Viktoria Köln the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 48.8% going in: 58.0% after a win, 49.0% after a draw, 44.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 58.0%, 9.2 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 46% / 27% / 27%: the biggest move is Alemannia Aachen's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Alemannia Aachen win46%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −2
- FC Viktoria Köln win27%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.