13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Right to Dream Park, Farum
Full time5 – 0

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 5-0 Valur Reykjavik.

Before kick-off the model made it 86% FC Nordsjaelland, 9% draw, 5% Valur Reykjavik — fair odds of 1.16, 11.11 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 4-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 86% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik

FC Nordsjaelland

  • W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026
  • W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026
  • W6-0Gais30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to AC Horsens26 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Gais23 July 2026

Valur Reykjavik

  • L0-2FC Nordsjaelland6 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Zrinjski30 July 2026
  • W1-0Zrinjski23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik

  • 6 August 2026Valur Reykjavik 0–2 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik

FC Nordsjaelland

  • H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists

Valur Reykjavik

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.