6 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Hlídarendi Reykjavik, Reykjavik
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 15% Valur Reykjavik, 17% draw, 68% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 6.67, 5.88 and 1.47. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 68% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Valur Reykjavik0%Draw1%FC Nordsjaelland99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
⚽V. Berthelsenassist: I. Adel
53'
🔁M. Heydeout: M. Brink
66'
🔁V. Berthelsenout: P. Amoako
🔁B. Heimissonout: H. Gunnarsson
67'
🔁D. Gardarsonout: I. Stole
67'
67'
🔁S. Acquahout: N. Rojkjaer
77'
•Prince Amoako Junior
78'
⚽N. Rojkjaer (pen)
🔁J. Jonssonout: P. Pedersen
79'
🔁A. Skoglundout: B. Antonsson
79'
🔁L. Heimissonout: K. Arnarsson
79'
Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson
83'
83'
🔁J. Lahteenmakiout: N. Markmann
84'
🔁I. Adelout: L. Nene
88'
Justin Janssen

Match stats — Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland

35%Possession65%
6Shots22
2On target6
3Corners9

Line-ups

Valur Reykjavik 5-4-1
  • 18F. SchramG
  • 22B. HeimissonD
  • 4M. NakkimD
  • 15H. EyjolfssonD
  • 28S. FridjonssonD
  • 24M. Veldman
  • 8J. JonssonM
  • 14A. SkoglundM
  • 12T. HaraldssonM
  • 17L. HeimissonM
  • 19D. GardarsonF
Substitutes
  • 25S. Agustsson
  • 95T. PeterssonG
  • 9P. Pedersen
  • 3H. GunnarssonD
  • 11I. StoleD
  • 6B. AntonssonM
  • 21J. PalssonD
  • 29S. VeseliM
  • 5K. ArnarssonM
Coach: Christopher Brazell
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13A. HansenG
  • 2P. AnkersenD
  • 3T. SalquistD
  • 15S. AcquahD
  • 23R. NorheimM
  • 18J. JanssenM
  • 47M. HeydeM
  • 25J. LahteenmakiM
  • 40H. Rasmussen
  • 29V. BerthelsenF
  • 14I. AdelF
Substitutes
  • 31A. SondenbroeG
  • 48C. KristoffersenG
  • 39D. JohannessonM
  • 32V. GustafsenD
  • 6M. BrinkM
  • 8N. RojkjaerM
  • 4N. MarkmannD
  • 37L. SadioM
  • 28M. WalkerD
Coach: Jens Olsen

Form going into Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland

Valur Reykjavik

  • D2-2away to Zrinjski30 July 2026
  • W1-0Zrinjski23 July 2026

FC Nordsjaelland

  • W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026
  • W6-0Gais30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to AC Horsens26 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Gais23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 6 August 2026Valur Reykjavik 0–2 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Valur Reykjavik and FC Nordsjaelland

Valur Reykjavik

No leading scorers listed yet.

FC Nordsjaelland

  • H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.