NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: NSI Runavik 2-2 FC Lugano.
Before kick-off the model made it 21% NSI Runavik, 19% draw, 60% FC Lugano — fair odds of 4.76, 5.26 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Lugano at 60% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
- L0-2away to FC Lugano6 August 2026
- W2-0away to Koper30 July 2026
- L0-2Koper23 July 2026
FC Lugano
- W5-0FC Zurich9 August 2026
- W2-0NSI Runavik6 August 2026
- W4-1away to Grasshoppers2 August 2026
- W5-1away to Dukagjini29 July 2026
- W2-1FC Vaduz26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano
- 6 August 2026FC Lugano 2–0 NSI RunavikUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: NSI Runavik and FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
No leading scorers listed yet.
FC Lugano
- D. Moncada3 goals1 assists
- E. Pihlström3 goals
- Y. Cimignani3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.