FC Sion vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Sion 3-2 FC Vaduz.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% FC Sion, 25% draw, 20% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Sion at 55% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Sion vs FC Vaduz
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Anthony RacioppiG
- 14Numa LavanchyD
- 5Noé SowD
- 17Jan KronigD
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 29Théo BerdayesM
- 37Fode SyllaM
- 8BaltazarM
- 77Donat RrudhaniM
- 33Rilind NivokaziF
- 9Josias LukembilaF
- 7Ylyas ChouarefF
- 88Ali KabacalmanM
- 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
- 19Franck SurdezF
- 21Liam Scott ChipperfieldM
- 12Francesco RubertoG
- 20Nias HeftiD
- 38Ryan KesslerD
- 22Adrien LlukesM
- 25Leon SchaffranG
- 4Nicolas HaslerD
- 6Denis SimaniD
- 5Liridon BerishaD
- 29Malik SawadogoD
- 17Julian StarkM
- 20Luca MackM
- 10Juan CabreraM
- 11Lutfi DalipiM
- 39Dejan SorgićF
- 9Marcel MonsbergerF
- 19Dejan ĐokićF
- 23Mats HammerichM
- 27Niklas LangD
- 18Daniel KasperF
- 28Miloš CocićM
- 1Benjamin BüchelG
- 7Dominik SchwizerM
- 14Mischa BeeliD
- 30Mattia WalkerM
Form going into FC Sion vs FC Vaduz
FC Sion
- D2-2away to FC Noah6 August 2026
- W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
- W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
- L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026
FC Vaduz
- L1-2away to Inter Turku6 August 2026
- L2-3FC St. Gallen2 August 2026
- W2-0away to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes30 July 2026
- L1-2away to FC Lugano26 July 2026
- W4-0Atlètic Club d'Escaldes23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sion | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 18 |
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Vaduz
- 9 August 2026FC Sion 3–2 FC VaduzSuper League
- 6 April 2024FC Sion 2–2 FC VaduzChallenge League
- 16 February 2024FC Vaduz 1–2 FC SionChallenge League
- 10 November 2023FC Sion 3–3 FC VaduzChallenge League
- 23 July 2023FC Vaduz 0–2 FC SionChallenge League
- 11 April 2021FC Vaduz 3–0 FC SionSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and FC Vaduz
FC Sion
- Winsley Boteli Mokango5 goals4 assists
- J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
- D. Rrudhani3 goals1 assists
FC Vaduz
- Juan Cabrera4 goals
- L. Dalipi3 goals7 assists
- M. Monsberger3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.