Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Tenerife 0-1 Sporting Gijon.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Tenerife, 22% draw, 19% Sporting Gijon — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tenerife at 59% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon
Tenerife
- W1-0Almeria23 August 2026
- W3-1away to Eibar16 August 2026
Sporting Gijon
- W1-0Burgos23 August 2026
- D0-0Sabadell17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tenerife | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 15 | Sporting Gijon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon
- 5 April 2025Sporting Gijon 1–3 TenerifeSegunda División
- 22 September 2024Tenerife 1–1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 20 January 2024Tenerife 1–2 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 17 September 2023Sporting Gijon 2–1 TenerifeSegunda División
- 25 February 2023Sporting Gijon 1–0 TenerifeSegunda División
- 30 September 2022Tenerife 1–1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
Leading scorers: Tenerife and Sporting Gijon
Tenerife
- Enric Gallego4 goals
Sporting Gijon
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.