Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Sofia 1-1 Septemvri Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Slavia Sofia, 24% draw, 16% Septemvri Sofia — fair odds of 1.67, 4.17 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Sofia at 60% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
- D1-1away to Ludogorets22 August 2026
Septemvri Sofia
- W1-0CSKA 194823 August 2026
- W1-0away to Spartak Varna17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
- 28 August 2026Slavia Sofia 1–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 4 July 2026Septemvri Sofia 2–3 Slavia SofiaFriendlies Clubs
- 6 May 2026Slavia Sofia 2–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 10 April 2026Slavia Sofia 1–2 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 1 November 2025Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 6 May 2025Septemvri Sofia 3–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League